“but I personally think defunding Planned Parenthood and related American-child-disposal sites could work wonders. “
Yes, there would be some small effect, but people’s behavior adjusts to changing circumstances. For example, photo enforcement for red light runners was supposed to net huge gains. Everywhere they installed these cameras the take was significantly smaller than expected. People adjusted. Here’s the disgusting part. Make abortions unavailable and women will instantly adjust by not getting pregnant. The sexual revolution will be over. They’ll start acting more conservative; not because they want to, but because they have to. I wish we could run the experiment and see.
As I understand it, the only reason that the population of the USA continues to increase is illegal immigration. Absent that, there would be a slow decrease.
The author’s analysis is flawed. TFR is considered vastly superior to crude birth rate by sophisticated demographers.
USA still>USSR
Vlad is doing some things right...
Having practically a generation of men wiped out in World War II, then a demographic implosion in the 1980s-90s, Russia is very aware of demographics and what a healthy birthrate means to the country. They can’t depend on immigration as much as we can. Their stand on gay rights has everything to do with this view as well.
It may have something to do with this:
MOSCOW, Russia, July 30, 2007 (LifeSiteNews.com) - A Russian nationalist youth group is encouraging youth to have more sex in an effort to combat the nation's devastating demographic crisis, reports the Daily Mail.
In a lengthy special report the Daily Mail documents the activities of the Nashi youth movement, which is sponsoring a summer camp attended by some 10,000 Russian youth this summer. Not only are Nashi organizers encouraging the youth to have more sex, but they have designated a special area at the dormitories, the Love Oasis, for young men and women to engage in sexual intercourse. According to the Mail, condoms are unavailable in the camp.
"They [The pre-historic mammoths] became extinct because they did not have enough sex. That must not happen to Russia," said a Nashi organizer to a group of assembled campers.
The nationalistic camp involves two weeks of lectures, reported by some Western sources as being little more than anti-Western "propaganda," as well as a strenuous regimen of physical exercise. Numerous young couples have also been married at the camp, with 25 couples being married at the beginning of the first week, and ten to be married at the beginning of the second.
While many people, especially in the West, are finding in the Kremlin-initiated, and Kremlin-loyal Nashi youth group a disturbing image of similar groups started up in Nazi-era Germany, the camp's approach to sex is further evidence that the Russian government is not unaware that a demographic crisis is leading the entire Russian nation towards an early grave.
Russia's president devoted the largest part of his annual State of Russia speech to reversing Russia's population decline.
If Russian couples have a third child, they will get a baby bonus, better health care, and free land to build a house or dacha, Russian President Dmitri Medvedev promised in his annual State of Russia speech.
Political analysts were hoping to hear about missiles or democracy. Instead they got babies.
[...]
What he did not say is that Russia compensates for its aging workforce by importing about 10 million laborers a year from Central Asia. After the United States, Russia is now the second-largest importer of workers. This influx of overwhelmingly Muslim workers creates tensions in Russia, where the population is largely Orthodox Christian.
When the Soviet Union collapsed, birth rate fell sharply. And since, aided by rising oil prices, the Russian birthrate is almost back up to where it was in 1990.
The US birthrate was stable from 1996 until the economic collapse in 2008. As the economy has recovered the US birth rate leveled up.
According to this Russias abortion rate has declined steeply form the unreal numbers in the early 90s, which supports your idea. It could be that they are just using better birth control now, I suppose. Does anyone know if there is an official Russian Orthodox position on birth control within marriage? I have heard different things from posters on here before.
So, in 2012 there were about 42 abortions per 100 live births, not 130. The last time the number of abortions exceeded the number of births by 30% or more was in 2002. Additionally, rather than representing the most grisly statistic the world has ever seen, an abortion rate 30% larger than the birth rate was actually a huge improvement from rates that prevailed in the early 1990s
According to this, there was a peak of something like 280 abortions per 100 live births in the early 90s.
Freegards
Our country is becoming less religious and more socialistic. The Russian situation is the reverse.
Putin, who single-handily saved Russia from the abyss of Communism.