Beck even named where the “Arab Spring” would start but admits that he was just guessing about it starting in Tunisia. However it was a good educated guess about it starting in an out of the way place no one ever thinks about.
Agree.
Predicting the future accurately can be based on the knowledge of history and probability of it happening again when the same mistakes are repeated.
We seem to never learn, when we point it out we're called crazy...then everyone is "surprised"