I would tend to disagree. I'm somewhat familiar with Barone through his "Almanac of American Politics" and an occasional TV or radio interview. Unlike other political analysts, he seems to be a straight shooter.
Of course, I'd say it's a little too early to project Senate races for next November. And it's too early to tell how much cheating and fraud the 'Rats will be able to get away with..
Remember that some pundits were predicting a swing of anywhere from five to ten Senate seats to the GOP only weeks before last years elections. Turned out, IIRC, the 'Rats actually had a net gain of three or so, according to the reported numbers, which is one more reason to suspect that the 'Rat fraud machine was a key factor in the competitive Senate races as well as in the presidential vote. That makes sense because just about all of the unprecedented amount of illegal votes would have been straight 'Rat from top to bottom.
I feel good about our chances in West Virginia and South Dakota. I’m cautiously hopeful about Arkansas, Louisiana, and North Carolina. It’s too soon to comment on Montana. Kentucky is kind of iffy, but Obama is toxically unpopular there.
Barone is a Republican I think and a very good analyst.
Now that guy Sabato is an a-hole.