My predictions;
Fisher v. University of Texas at Austin - Affirmative action
Decision: Race based entry quotas and standards are OK, when promoting minorities. There is no issue if whites are treated unfairly in the process.
Result: Status quo unchanged
Shelby County v. Holder - Constitutionality of Section 5 of Voting Rights Act
Decision: It stays, because the south has not proven that it has made sufficient progress in race relations and equality, and it it the federal governments responsibility to ensure progress on this front.
Result: Status quo, unchanged
Hollingsworth v. Perry - California’s definition of marriage and the Equal Protection Clause
Decision: California can decide what it wants, because in this case the 10th Amendment is supreme. The wording will essentially be, “change it if you want”.
Result: Another big push to redefine marriage in Cali.
United States v. Windsor - Constitutionality of the Defense of Marriage Act
Decision: DOMA will be tossed.
Result: This will open a flood gates for a federal definition on “marriage”
Well if that’s your expectation then you at least aren’t setting yourself up for disappointment.
My head tells me that the change from SDO to Alito means we flip the affirmative action case 5-4 our way, but my experienced and troubled heart tells me Kennedy or Roberts won’t want to get called a racist and we could end up with a narrow victory (by way of a concurring opinion) leaving some affirmative action jurisprudence undisturbed.
I’m just glad that the part of DIMA that says states don’t have to give Full Faith and Credit to gay marriages from other states isn’t up for review (that I know of).
But overall, I’d say any faith in SCOTUS is misguided since we commonly get screwed.
**DOMA will be tossed.
Result: This will open a flood gates for a federal definition on “marriage”**
I don’t think so, but maybe I’m just too Catholic and know the Bible too well.
What is in it that would make it get tossed out?