Posted on 06/12/2013 6:42:51 PM PDT by markomalley
Democrats terrify Hispanics into thinking they’ll be lynched if they vote for Republicans, and then turn around and taunt Republicans for not winning a majority of the Hispanic vote.
This line of attack has real resonance with our stupidest Republicans. (Proposed Republican primary targets: Sens. Kelly Ayotte, Jeff Flake, Lindsey Graham and Marco Rubio.) Which explains why Republicans are devoting all their energy to slightly increasing their share of the Hispanic vote while alienating everyone else in America.
It must be fun for liberals to manipulate Republicans into focusing on hopeless causes. Why don’t Democrats waste their time trying to win the votes of gun owners?
As journalist Steve Sailer recently pointed out, the Hispanic vote terrifying Republicans isn’t that big. It actually declined in 2012. The Census Bureau finally released the real voter turnout numbers from the last election, and the Hispanic vote came in at only 8.4 percent of the electorate — not the 10 percent claimed by the pro-amnesty crowd.
The sleeping giant of the last election wasn’t Hispanics; it was elderly black women, terrified of media claims that Republicans were trying to suppress the black vote and determined to keep the first African-American president in the White House.
Contrary to everyone’s expectations, 10 percent more blacks voted in 2012 compared to 2008, even beating white voters, the usual turnout champions. Eligible black voters turned out at rate of 66.2 percent, compared to 64.1 percent of eligible white voters. Only 48 percent of all eligible Hispanic voters went to the polls.
No one saw this coming, which is probably why Gallup had Romney up by 5 points before Hurricane Sandy hit, and up by 1 point in its last pre-election poll after the hurricane.
Only two groups voted in larger numbers in 2012 compared to 2008: blacks aged 45-64, and blacks over the age of 65 — mostly elderly black women.
In raw numbers, nearly twice as many blacks voted as Hispanics, and nine times as many whites voted as Hispanics. (Ninety-eight million whites, 18 million blacks and 11 million Hispanics.)
As Byron York has shown, even if Mitt Romney had won 70 percent of the Hispanic vote, he still would have lost. No Republican presidential candidate in at least 50 years has won even half of the Hispanic vote.
In the presidential election immediately after Reagan signed an amnesty bill in 1986, the Republican share of the Hispanic vote actually declined from 37 percent to 30 percent — and that was in a landslide election for the GOP. Combined, the two Bush presidents averaged 32.5 percent of the Hispanic vote — and they have Hispanics in their family Christmas cards.
John McCain, the nation’s leading amnesty proponent, won only 31 percent of the Hispanic vote, not much more than anti-amnesty Romney’s 27 percent.
Amnesty is a gift to employers, not employees.
The (pro-amnesty) Pew Research Hispanic Center has produced poll after poll showing that Hispanics don’t care about amnesty. In a poll last fall, Hispanic voters said they cared more about education, jobs and health care than immigration. They even care more about the federal budget deficit than immigration! (To put that in perspective, the next item on their list of concerns was “scratchy towels.”)
Also, note that Pew asked about “immigration,” not “amnesty.” Those Hispanics who said they cared about immigration might care about it the way I care about it — by supporting a fence and E-Verify.
Who convinced Republicans that Hispanic wages aren’t low enough and what they really need is an influx of low-wage workers competing for their jobs?
Maybe the greedy businessmen now running the Republican Party should talk with their Hispanic maids sometime. Ask Juanita if she’d like to have seven new immigrants competing with her for the opportunity to clean other people’s houses, so that her wages can be dropped from $20 an hour to $10 an hour.
A wise Latina, A.J. Delgado, recently explained on Mediaite.com why amnesty won’t win Republicans the Hispanic vote — even if they get credit for it. Her very first argument was: “Latinos will resent the added competition for jobs.”
But rich businessmen don’t care. Big Republican donors — and their campaign consultants — just want to make money. They don’t care about Hispanics, and they certainly don’t care what happens to the country. If the country is hurt, I don’t care, as long as I am doing better! This is the very definition of treason.
Hispanic voters are a small portion of the electorate. They don’t want amnesty, and they’re hopeless Democrats. So Republicans have decided the path to victory is to flood the country with lots more of them!
It’s as if Republicans convinced Democrats to fixate on banning birth control to win more pro-life voters. This would be great for Republicans because Democrats will never win a majority of pro-life voters, and about as many pro-lifers care about birth control as Hispanics care about amnesty.
But that still wouldn’t be as idiotic as what Republicans are doing because, according to Gallup, pro-lifers are nearly half of the electorate. Hispanics are only 8.4 percent of the electorate.
And it still wouldn’t be as stupid as the GOP pushing amnesty, because banning birth control wouldn’t create millions more voters who consistently vote against the Democrats.
Listening to Republican National Committee Chairman Reince Priebus burble a few weeks ago on “Fox News Sunday” about how amnesty is going to push the Republicans to new electoral heights, one is reminded of Democratic pollster Pat Caddell’s reason for refusing to become a Republican: No matter how enraged he gets at Democratic corruption, he says he can’t bear to join such a stupid party as the GOP.
I remember getting flamed by certain FReepers quite a while back when I criticized Ann on one of these threads.
Reading the comments here...my, how the worm has turned....
Ann is pretty much like Peggy Noonan to me these days. I pay neither one any attention.
See, here’s the thing about politics: The elites know what’s coming LONG before we ever hear the plan.
The Republicans aren’t / weren’t being stupid here. They knew full well that Amnesty is coming (by whatever name it is). That fix is in and the GOPe know it. All the theatrics around that bill are just theater. Barring some Act of God, Amnesty is coming and the demographics will shift through 2016, 2020 and beyond. The Republicans are trying to get some of those votes.
Now, how the GOPe are going about getting those votes can be pretty asinine but this is WHY they did what they did in 2012. Bet on it.
See, here’s the thing about politics: The elites know what’s coming LONG before we ever hear the plan.
The elites don’t know the future. They are arrogant and think they know. Rove has a terrible record in the past few elections. The GOP wouldn’t be lashing out at conservatives like a 3 year who didn’t get a toy if they actually had a winning game plan.
The problem is the kenyan, Reid, Pelosi and the MSM whipped them. They are happy with the set up now in DC and very frustrated we won’t surrender also.
The beltway GOP continue to be lead by the nose from crisis to crisis by the Dems. They have given up for the next few elections cycles and just want the donor cash. They have no fight in them at all.
This rings. Pretty good ridicule.
“one is reminded of Democratic pollster Pat Caddell’s reason for refusing to become a Republican: No matter how enraged he gets at Democratic corruption, he says he can’t bear to join such a stupid party as the GOP.”
Pat Caddell rules.
And, as always, they take their base totally for granted and are oblivious to the significant number of votes they will continue to lose with their pandering and generally stupid ideas about how to appeal to voters in general.
+1
They may not be able to predict this election or that election but they know full well that between a Democrat majority and a large number of GOPe statists, the leftist agenda will continue to move forward.
The GOPe have probably “decided not to fight today” and instead will pander to get votes today in order “to fight tomorrow”. Although we both know that “the fight tomorrow” will never come. Republicans in the future will have less of a backbone than the ones today have.
I hate to say this but you’re being naive if you think Amnesty (or whatever they’re gonna call it) isn’t a done deal. Sorry for being the bearer of bad news.
Sorry. Use to read your erstwhile brilliant writing but, since you very nearly came out of the closet a few years and then thought better of it, for some weird pre 1980 reason, and fawned over Willard and Krispy while telling the rest of us “You ain’t all that”, I’m over you.
Too bad,
So sad,
Buh bye.
Your career dissipation light is blinking.
Yep. They’re not the stupid party for nothing. After all, whatcha gonna do? Vote Democrat? /sigh
Um, no.
Well she agrees with me that they are just stoopid rather than deliberately helping the rats.
Bump
I hate to say this but you’re being naive if you think Amnesty (or whatever they’re gonna call it) isn’t a done deal. Sorry for being the bearer of bad news.
I am not in denial but I plan on going down swinging. If the beltway GOP will not defend my constitutional rights they will not get my vote. Starting now. I am at peace with that decision after a lifetime of GOP plantation voting.
The latest amnesty buffoonery is actually making it easier for me. It’s one thing to be betrayed by bad policy like amnesty. It’s another thing entirely to carpet bombed with this willfully dishonest campaign about that bad policy.
Rubio & Ryan are making it so easy to leave the GOP. I guess that is their plan. They don’t want thinking conservatives. Well now it’s mutual. If I wanted to be associated with treasonous beltway trash like them I would have been a Dem.
Ann trying to get back some of her conservative creds, so she can sell more books and help push other libs in the next election.
Excellent analysis, Graewoulf!
I’ve decided I’m going to stop using the term “RINO”.
It implies that Republican = Conservative, so that if someone is Republican in name only, they are illegitimately attaching themselves to the party of conservatives. If there is one thing that has become abundantly clear its that Republican does not mean conservatives. In fact, it may well be that the true “RINO’S” are just the opposite, conservatives that, for the sake of getting elected, attach themselves to the GOP which seems to stand for “we want big government too, just not quite as big as the Democrats sometimes”.
It seems to me that a more appropriate designation would be Republican and either P or NP....Progressive or Non-Progressive.
The two arguments regarding the GOPs motives for supporting this are :
1) because they believe that this will help them in elections regarding Hispanics
and 2) That they were bought off by business (SJB main point)
There is truth to both of them.
On #1 Potential POTUS candidates are terrified of Hispanic backlash like Romney suffered, GOP House members are the least affected by that as hispanic districts are already Dem.
On #2 The Senate bill was reported many times to be a deal between the Chamber of Commerce and labor (big unions) by Senators themselves. So SJB is right too.
Senators worry about both depending on state specifics.
No need to disagree on their motives #1 vs #2.
last : Rubio is lying to us , no question about that.
And no, Republicans are not going along with this because they want to lose their own elections. That one is not worth debating. Its mainly #1 and/or #2.
Fat boy from NJ and the car salesman from MA are both big Shamnesty backers. She and Porky Pig Rove’s 15 min have expired and now we have freezer rot.
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