PPP polls
Sanford leading Bostic 53-40
STEVIE COLBERT’S SISTER leading Sanford in the general 47-45, tied with Bostic.
The left will have an orgasm if they steal this seat. John Stewart will dance an Irish jig and Rachel Maddow will forget she’s gay and start kissing every man she sees.
Step 1 in avoiding doom is not nominating Sanford for Christ sake. Personally I don’t give a crap about his adultery, his idiotic handing of it offends me much more, calling the other woman his soulmate on tv while still claiming he wanted to save his marriage was a real WTF, the man is an idiot. But many people hate him now cause he’s a cheater, like John Edwards. I trolled DU saying hey go easy on Edwards and no one agreed with me, no one. Sanford would be in serious danger of losing this seat. Looks it will be a fight either way. DAMN IT.
All set off by Jim DeMint quitting for no good reason. Maybe Haley should have put a seat warmer in, I hate having to defend our seats in special elections, seats are much more likely to change hands in specials.
Get Palin’s ass in there to stump for Bostic.
He couldn't. Governors can appoint Senators when a seat is vacant (17th Amendment, cl. 2), but must call a special election when a House seat is vacant (Constitution, Art. I, sec. 2, cl. 4).
The ego of some of these screw ups mystifies me. They think they’re so great that their state or the country just can’t live without them. Barf. Why can’t they just go away?
Thanks Impy.
OK, I’ll take the contrarian position: either Sanford or Bostic should beat Colbert’s daughter, but Bostic would have a greater chance of blowing the election.
Coastal South Carolinians are not like those in the High Country—they are first and foremost economic conservatives, and many are turned off by religious conservatism. In 2008, when the SC-01 still included Myrtle Beach but before they added Hilton Head, its religious-conservative incumbent, Henry Brown, came within 2% of losing the seat to a lesbian Democrat. Fortunately Congressman Brown retired in 2010, a year in which the GOP was assured of carrying a district that Republican, and when political rock star Tim Scott, who is popular among both religious conservatives *and* economic conservatives, won the nomination, the seat became safely Republican.
Now it is open again (and, Impy, it is short-sighted and Monday-morning-quarterbacking to object to Gov. Haley appointing Scott to the Senate: it was by far the best decision for the Senate seat, not to mention for the conservative movement and the GOP), and it is actually bit less Republican than it was under its 2002-2010 lines: the McCain vote went from 57% under the old lines to 56% under the new lines. Of course, like everywhere other than heavily black areas, the Obama vote decreased in 2012, which allowed Romney to get 58% in the district, so the Republican base starts off with a clear majority. How many Republicans will stay home or vote for the “moderate” Democrat? And will Democrats turn out in droves to defeat the Republican? It will depend on who our nominee is.
I will predict that Sanford, who represented the district for years and who still is popular among economic conservatives (not to say that he isn’t a social conservative—he just doesn’t emphasize it as much) despite his adultery, will limit Republican defections and win with 53%. Bostic, whose baggage is ideological, not personal (Democrats will depict him as a “fundie” who won’t “support” rape victims and would be “intolerant”), would drive up RAT turnout more and would lose some economic conservatives, but should still win with 52%. And the odds of our nominee saying something stupid and losing the race is exponentially higher if Bostic, not Sanford, is the nominee. So, strange as it sounds, Sanford is our @safer bet.”
And as for what they will do in office, I think both would be terrific congressmen, but that Sanford would be likelier to take the lead in decreasing the size of government and reforming entitlements spending.
So count me as a Santorum supporter who would prefer that Sanford wins the nomination.
Yeah, where was Palin? We needed her for this race. Stinkin’ whoremongering filthy SOB Sanford, who will just humiliate us like he humiliated Jenny if he wins. May he lose to the Democrat. I’m just furious that the SC GOP didn’t put a stop to this, or even possibly encouraged it. They’re the ones who give us Pandsie Graham, after all...