Posted on 03/07/2013 11:43:45 AM PST by mgist
Neil Barofsky, who was the special investigator general of the US governments Troubled Asset Relief Program until his resignation in 2011, spoke to RT about how the Washington-Wall Street political culture could lead to another devastating collapse.
RT: You refer to Washington as an alien world - a culture more concerned with looking out for themselves or the next headline. What happened with the TARP program that led you to say such a thing?
Neil Barofsky: It was a remarkable thing coming in. I was a life-long Democrat; I even contributed then to President Obamas presidential campaign. But I was actually appointed by President Bush, a Republican. It was very striking to me, as a life-long Democrat, how little things have changed. And everything, I think over time it became increasingly so was very much politicized. Decisions were made with an eye towards the press cycle: what headlines are going to get generated. And sometimes it resulted in remarkably head-scratching arguments that had very little to do with what TARP was supposed to do. So the official story line the official narrative that survives to this day is that TARP worked, TARP was incredibly successful because it helped to preserve the financial system. But that was not what TARP was supposed to do. History was eventually rewritten by the Treasury Department to make it seem that all was TARP supposed to do was Band-Aid over a broken financial system. All those other things, for which there would have never been a bank bailout, all those things that were to help all those people other than the executives at the giant financial systems that just got ignored and brushed away.
RT: You have said that the largest banks in the US did and still do hold a gun to the head of Americas financial system. Why?
NB: Essentially in the most recent stuff that weve seen coming out of the Department of Justice and they have done some big settlements theyve done HSBC over sort of a breathtaking amount of money laundering, theyve done some of the LIBOR cases and interest rate-rigging with some big European banks. One of the questions that has been raised was, why are you not requiring guilty pleas from these institutions? The response of the Department of Justice was if we charge these institutions it could potentially destabilize the entire economic system of the world. This is a stunning admission. I give them an A for honesty. This means that in essence there are two sets of rules. And now there is a special subset of the Too Big to Fail/Too Big to Jail corporations. And that creates a tremendous incentive to commit more fraud, to break more laws.
RT: So who is managing the economy: the government or the banks?
NB: Its a fair question. A lot of the management of the government in the economy is outsourced to the banks. Thats how TARP was originally run. It wasnt that the US government has hundreds of billions of dollars and they are going to save these banks for the purpose to put back the money into the economy to increase lending to businesses, homeowners to get the economy rolling again. But when they did they didnt do it the way you would think you would have if that was your goal: banks JP Morgan Chase, here is your $25 billion, but when you use this you are going to agree to increase lending and were going to measure it or at least require it incentivize it, and keep track of it. That is how you think it would be if the government was running the program. Thats not what they did. They gave it to the banks with no strings attached no conditions, no requirements, no incentives, no transparency. When I said, lets make the banks tell us what they are doing with the money, so we would know their goals, I was told that I was stupid, that I was playing politics that if I did it myself I would destroy the banking system. This led to Tim Geithner himself cursing me out of a meeting when I suggested that he was anything less than the most transparent secretary of the Treasury in US history. That is all part of that incredible deference that they showed to the banks. Just give the money to the banks and trust them. The banks didnt use the money for lending, they hoarded it, they lent it back to the government, they invested it, they did whatever they could to maximize their profits. They did everything other than increase lending; lending actually contracted. That is the example of when the government had an incredible amount of control and leverage and chose not to use it.
RT: Is that because banks have so much power and influence in Washington? Is that the number one reason why the banks trumped the homeowners when they came to TARP?
NB: Yes, but it not in the way we think that large corporations have influence in Washington. When we say that we typically think of the money and the campaign contributions and the lobbying, all of that is totally valid. What I saw is totally different, and frankly far more insidious and much more damaging and dangerous. It was more of a complete ideological capture of these individuals. These are people who thought and believed they were doing the right thing, but so identified with the interests of Wall Street and the largest banks that that became the only thing that mattered. But even those people who didnt come from Washington, like Tim Geithner, Secretary of the Treasury, president of the NY Fed he never worked in a Wall Street bank, but had so adopted this world view that I dont think he was lying when he said Im doing whats best for the country. The problem is that he was so blinded by this prejudice in favor of the Wall Street banks thats all that mattered.
RT: How much have the bailouts cost the American economy?
NB: Whenever I have a number Im recounting what the officials are. The Treasurys official number is in the order of $50-60 billion in losses on the TARP program. I think that the Congressional Budget Office has a lower number $24 billion in losses. Im not sure, but there is a tendency to minimize the cost of the bailout to make it seem that it wasnt that bad. It glosses over the incredible amount of damage. We are talking about an entire years worth of GDP, the entire production of the entire American economy wiped out because of this financial crisis. And one of the biggest costs that we havent yet realized in the way the bailouts were conducted is that we put a Band-Aid over a gaping chest wound. We have the same broken financial system that we did in 2008, only with banks that are more concentrated, more powerful and more dangerous. All the bad incentives that led to the crisis in 2008 in many ways are still in place, thus leading to what I believe is the next financial crisis. But theres still a chance to do things to keep that from happening, which I hope will happen. But if left undisturbed whether its two years, four years or eight years its going to happen again. Its sort of naïve to look at all the incentives and that are still in the system that caused crisis before and presume that for some magical reason they wont happen again.
RT: What are the biggest challenges for the US economy at this stage? Is it still the issue of little, or weak, regulation? Is it the power of the banks? Or is it other issues like debt and unemployment?
NF: Its all short-term, medium-term, long-term, all depending on what you are doing. Right now we have an unemployment crisis in this country. Long-term unemployment its just hast been devastating. Our unemployment rate is too high, its been too high for too long. We will have people that are out of work for so many years, its going to be remarkably difficult for them to get back to work. This fuels income inequality, which is a significant problem in this country. That is going to be a long-term structural issue that somehow we will need to contend with. A recent study came out saying that this so-called financial recovery that the top 1 per cent basically gobbled up all the recovery amounts while the richer got richer and the poorer got poorer. These are sort of unsustainable long-term trends that are problematic for the economy. As far as what is the biggest thread of the giant shock, it is still the fragile nature of the banks and the amount of money that it will cost if we dont arrest it before another crisis strikes. The last crisis cost $13 trillion. One can only imagine what will happen next time. Last time we had a lot of room fiscally. The debts and the deficits we were running since then have given us a lot less flexibility to deal with the crisis. The idea of getting an $800-billion stimulus through Congress in the face of the next crisis may be politically much more difficult. Getting a $700-billion bailout like what we had in part because of the terrible way the bailout was run and administered is going to be a problem next time. We could be looking at a crisis that will make the last one look almost pedestrian. So that is potentially medium- to long-term dangerous to the economy, so that if we dont fix it, it could prove very devastating.
RT: Do you think that Eurozone should embark to something similar to TARP?
NB: I think that Europes problem with its banks is probably even worse than ours. European banks are even larger as far as percentage of GDP of their various countries. I think they enjoy even more support through the implicit guarantee, which is all but explicit; the difference between Deutsche Bank and the German government is almost impossible to discern. On a larger level, European banks are beyond too big to fail. So you have a situation there where if these banks get into a crisis, the European governments are going to have to bail them out. But my advice is, dont do what we did here, which is just preserve that status quo and move on. Europe needs to do the exact thing that US needs to do break up these institutions.
RT: What do you think it will take for the US banks to face true justice or for the government to actually put citizens before banks?
NB: Nothing is going to happen in the near term. That is pretty clear. The only way to break through and get the types of enforcement we need will be won in the aftermath of another crisis, which will be devastating and lets hope that that doesnt happen. But more realistically, that is probably the way. Secondly, if there is a big enough scandal. The one reliable thing about the largest banks is that they are scandal-producing machines. Its not surprising. Its because of the incentives, because of the lack of accountability, lack of punishment; its profitable to commit fraud or bend the rules. The difference between now and 2008 that there are a lot more people now politicians, academics, journalists who recognize that we have a broken system, that the only path to a stable economic system is by breaking up the largest financial institutions. Theres not enough political power to do it now, but when the time is right there will be enough support to make this move forward and finally get the protections we should have had back then.
RT: How much worse can it get?
NB: We saw glimpses in the Occupy Wall Street movement, in the Tea Party movement which was originally about the unfairness of the bailouts that triggered a lot of the Tea Party anger. But we also those movements transform. There is still a lot of anger out there, but it hasnt found a place to channeled. If we continue to go down this path, its almost inevitable that it will once again erupt. The question is, where is that trigger is going to be? Can it turn into a bunch of angry people yelling to a significant political movement? It didnt happen with the presidential race of 2012. But again, it takes additional external shock to get people into this game. But it is a problem. It is made complex by the banks and politicians in order to make people think its more complicated. What I tried to do in my book is to make people understand and realize that you dont need a doctorate in finance to understand that our finance system is broken. So much of the banks lobbying power and the politicians power is to try to confuse people with concepts that are untrue; simple distortions of simple economic truths in order to carry their agenda. Trying to educate and bring people up to speed on this stuff is probably part of that process.
Barofsky, a lifelong Democrat who was drafted by Hank Paulson, George W. Bushs Treasury secretary, arrived in D.C. late 2008, a few months after the law went into effect. He had been a superstar prosecutor in U.S. Attorneys office in New York, busting Columbian drug lords. When I came in I thought my real job would be doing fraud prosecutions, putting bad people who had stolen from TARP in jail.
But once he got to Washington and began digging into how TARP was structuredor, in fact, not structuredhe realized he had to use his audit power to pressure regulators into reviewing procedures and making radical changes. His goal was greater transparency, a way to trace where the early TARP money had gone and make sure that banks and huge corporations like AIG wouldnt be given billions more with no strings attached. There was this overriding sense, I mean people up and down the chain of command just said it to me, that that wasnt important. To Barofsky, the 2009 AIG bonus scandal, in which the Treasury Department authorized $168 million in payouts to the giant insurer, was a perfect example. No one wanted me to write what I did, but I wasnt hired to be a cheerleader, he says.
GEITHNER: ‘I Have Been The Most F——— Transparent Secretary Of The Treasury In This Country’s Entire F——— History’
Read more: http://www.businessinsider.com/geithner-f-bombs-2012-7#ixzz2Mt3Dletn
The Central Bank is an institution of the most deadly hostility existing against the principles and form of our constitution if the American people allow private banks to control the issuance of their currency, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the people of all their property until their children will wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered." Thomas Jefferson
Congress was to blame with the passing of the 1913 Federal Reserve Act! Each subsequent Congress is equally at blame for not repealing that horrible Act!
Interesting stuff. It was all for Obama’s buddies, no questions asked.
I’ve got a lot of questions I’d like to ask this guy.
That's exactly what I was thinking. Questions such as, Why did Soros get $220 MILLION that was never expected to be paid back? He bought a bank OneWest (formerly IndyMac), that had been confiscated by the Fed,without even bidding. It was purchased for than it was worth in assets, and immediately made $2 BILLION, then got hundreds of millions in TARP funds, how does that work?
The elite super-class was fully exposed by the 2008 financial crisis. We saw that no one was held accountable, all the insiders privatized their profits and socialized their losses, and the biggest criminals reaped the biggest rewards by being further incentivized to continue business as usual through the FED (which the banking class controls). By the way, TARP was a drop in the bucket. The FED gives out the same amount every eight to nine months now that they are doing QE Infinity. TARP merely established that the political sock puppets would rubber stamp what the elite super-class desired at the expense of American taxpayers.
Guys like Soros and Buffet were just high profile elites that the corporate ran press felt the need to follow during the crisis. They all made a fortune at our expense. Financial crisis allows huge windfalls when you are in the know of the future and can position yourself. Buffet and Soros are whispering into the politicians ears what to do, while setting up their bets on the other side knowing that the politicians will follow orders.
“We are talking about an entire years worth of GDP, the entire production of the entire American economy wiped out because of this financial crisis.”
I’m assuming he’s talking about the output gap between GDP pre-crisis and that trend and the current GDP now. What he ignores is that letting all the banks go with no inervention would likely have cost a multiple of this number.
Another thing he ignores is that the original TARP bill was simply to provide a backstop for the banks. in order to calm the markets. That was bastardized into the monstrosity that was passed by Congress because Barney Frank and Nancy Pelosi loaded it up with pork.
Funny how now we have to go to the Russians to get the truth.
Up is down....right is left....
I’ve listened to video of Sen. Paul Kanjorski, at 222.youtube.com/watch?v=setWW57RRsI , describing what happened, and he says that Paulsen and Bernanke met with Congress around Sept 15, 2008 (a Monday) to explain the situation - that the Thursday before (which would be Sept 11, 2008) they had noticed a huge electronic run on US money markets, to the degree that by the end of the day there would have been 3 trillion withdrawn and the anticipated panic would have collapsed the US economy by 2pm and the world economy within 24 hours. They had started to try to bridge the gap by pumping treasury money into the market but quickly realized that they couldn’t keep up. So instead they closed the market and issued a guarantee of up to $250,000/account, to try to prevent panic.
And what Bernanke and Paulsen were asking Congress to do at that Sept 15 meeting was to respond to that run on the bank by allowing them to buy up the subprime loans (that Obama had pressured bankers to have to do because of CRA, as directed by the Cloward-Piven communist plan to destroy the US economy)
I and others have said that the run on the bank was on Sept 18th. But it couldn’t have been on the 18th, if the meeting with Congress to describe what had happened and to request TARP money was on the 15th. I’ve looked at some of the articles from back then and it seems like the general public was not told about the run on the bank until the 18th but that must not have been the day that the actual event happened.
Am I missing something? Does Wall Street close down over the weekend? Was the market shut down on Sept 11-12, 2008? Did anybody here watch this thing happen in real time?
Oops. Bad typo. The link is http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=setWW57RRsI
At http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/02/business/02crisis.html?pagewanted=1&_r=0 it gives a detailed timeline and says that the meeting with Congress happened the afternoon of Sept 18th, not the 15th as Kanjorski claimed. Says that the SEC copied the lead of Britain and instituted a ban on short selling (which is what Kanjorski must have meant when he said they shut down the market) - mostly to try to scare people, who responded by buying and drove the Dow up.
Anyway, if that is correct, then Kanjorski just screwed up his date in that video clip and the Congressional meeting with Paulson and Bernanke that he referred to happened on the same day as the run on the bank - Thursday, Sept 18.
I think your assumption is incorrect. Towards the end of the interview Mr. Barofsky said: The last crisis cost $13 trillion.
This number is close to the GDP of the U.S., so I think he literally meant the total annual economic output of the U.S. I’ve never seen a number that high as regards the losses associated with the crash, but I’m far from an expert on the subject.
Yeah I have no clue what that number is supposed to represent so I was guessing. I have never seen any estimate anywhere spthat says the financial crisis cost $13+ Trillion.
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