Yep, with Obama getting 79% of the Asian-American vote in California where 29.5% of them live, that definitely would pull the average up for any states where the Asian vote for Dims might have been less overwhelming.
With the exception of black voters, other groups probably tend to reflect the politics in the state where they live to some extent. And also some are probably favorite son voters as Reagan and W did some better among Hispanics, two popular governors from states with large Hispanic populations.
But I still believe that how long a given minority individual or family has been in the US would prove to be the biggest factor in how they vote. And huge numbers of Asians have become new citizens since Reagan, GHWB and Dole who won the Asian vote with just over 50%.
“But I still believe that how long a given minority individual or family has been in the US would prove to be the biggest factor in how they vote.”
That’s probably a reasonable theory. I think you would probably see it work for minorities like with religion and practicing/nonpracticing. If there was an area that more frequently had a group move to it, it would still be hard to see with a national %. I think I recall that the next presidential election there will be even less states exit polled. Not that exit polling is any sort of absolute indicator.
Freegards
The biggest factor is if they are, or become, Protestant Christians, the only people in America who vote conservative.
Even with Hispanics, Hispanics are close to a 50/50 republican vote, as long as they have become Protestant Christians.