unless of course the pope resigned under the same sorts of threats
http://blog.gaycatholicpriests.org/category/priests-in-trouble/
“OBriens recusal is also important as a precedent, said Terence McKiernan, of BishopAccountability.org, a U.S.-based documentation center on child abuse by priests.
Many cardinals scheduled to join the conclave have been involved as bishops in handling cases of clergy sexual abuse, and some of them have done such a bad job that they too should recuse themselves from the conclave, he said.”
I don’t know how many Cardinals there are or how this would sway the vote but I have to guess that there is a lot of political manuevering going on.