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To: nickcarraway

Somebody’s blowing smoke up somebody’s ass here. They obliquely mention the Super Bowl — he was wrong on that. But I recall looking at InTrade and seeing that there were only long-shot odds for Romney winning the Presidency and every single one of the eight or nine swing states.


9 posted on 02/16/2013 5:38:17 AM PST by jiggyboy (Ten percent of poll respondents are either lying or insane)
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To: jiggyboy
But I recall looking at InTrade and seeing that there were only long-shot odds for Romney ....

They've been depressingly accurate overall .... but remember that as recently as Dubya's 2000 campaign, someone was able to come back and beat the odds. In May 2000, the Gorebot was headed for a comfy 55-45 "historic victory" over Dubya, according to Intrade and the Iowa academics, but Alan Greenspan held ManBearPig's head under water with rising interest rates and discount-window tightening, and his lead disappeared in the EC.

Footnote: The MSLiars to this day insist Gore won the popular vote. They don't insist simultaneously that California had bags and bags of absentee votes, many of them military ones, that weren't counted, in order to protect DimRat bragging rights, and they likewise don't insist, or even inquire into, the strong rumors that Bill Clinton ordered an aircraft carrier returning from the Mediterranean to dump many thousands of military absentee ballots off the fantail.

13 posted on 02/17/2013 12:47:07 PM PST by lentulusgracchus
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