Skip to comments.Some Trader Has Made A Very Big Bet That Something Very Bad Will Happen Within The Next 60 Days
Posted on 02/06/2013 7:21:55 AM PST by blam
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My son is a 12 year employee physicist(PhD) for a defense contractor and he's concerned.
This is balony ... if you are entering a long or short CALL spread position, you are using CALLS ... not PUTS.
People don’t realize that when spending is cut, jobs are cut. That is where money goes when it is “spent”. If you cut spending drastically, there will be a lot of layoffs. The problem we now have is that the FedGov now has a sembiotic relationship with the private sector’s economy. If the government really does all the cuts us conservatives would like, it would destroy the economy.
In fact, the only thing they can do that does NOT destroy the economy is kick the can and try to inflate us out of this. Problem is, that destroys it too. It just happens later.
It’s why I say there is no human solution to this. We are in this all the way to the bottom. And it is not just the US. It is the world’s entire economy/civilization. This will leave a mark.
It is a very leveraged bet against market complacency. Makes perfect sense since, by all historic measures, the stock market is at a record level of overconfidence. Although the options expire in 60 days, the buyer has to see a strong market move (probably down) much sooner than that or the option value will have been lost.
Little fracas in the vicinity of Lexington, MA, and then in Concord, MA, as well. 1775 or thereabouts.
ZX12R ~ Waco slaughter, and the Oklahoma bombing as revenge for it. Both 19th.
While not disagreeing with an April 19 date, I think the big event will be later.
The Benghazi attack was timed to blur the focus on, to steal a little power from, to overwrite the big event a decade earlier.
Oklahoma City was to take back the date from Waco.
The most horrible date in human history (according to anyone invested in dominating others) is July 4th.
That's the day the real trouble starts.
If it’s a VERY big event it might be so big that he won’t get paid. So said trader is hoping for something bad but not too bad so as to take the financial system down with it. Just sayin’.
$11.25 million in an option is pretty big as their is a multiplier effect of the option. It’s not a straight trade.
Ditto. We're still in sync.
The Norks are getting to test their big boom rocket thingy.
Something terrible has ALREADY happened. Around November last year. The RATS stole the election and are still in power.
Possibly simply hedging some other bets that rely on a market drop?
Not much of a boom, more of a *pop* exactly what a neutron bomb is supposed to do.
Are the Norks skipping over the big boom stage of development and going directly for neutron bomb and Super-EMP weapons?
They have already demonstrated the ability to orbit a payload.
Yes. He has utterly vanished. Not just from FR, either.
There are few things on earth I would like more than to hear from him.
Nope - They bought the april 20 calls and sold the april 25 puts.
This reduces the cost of the bet by trimming the upside potential.
That article notes that the asteroid will reach the closest point at about 2:24 Eastern time.
They don't bother to say WHAT DAY. Just sometime "next week".
Some Trader Has Made A Very Big Bet That Something Very Bad Will Happen Within The Next 60 Days
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