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To: Colofornian

The article’s numbers don’t make sense. I have little confidence they are correct.


3 posted on 11/27/2012 3:04:14 PM PST by AlmaKing
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To: AlmaKing
The article’s numbers don’t make sense. I have little confidence they are correct.

Well, I crunched the #s...you might be on to something that may place Utah more in the middle of the pack...

Per the Salt Lake Trib, as of January 2012, 23.4% of voting-eligible adults in Utah were NOT registered to vote:
One of every four Utah adults not registered to vote

In sheer numbers, that comes out to approximately 470,000 Utahns (out of 1.94 million voting eligible adults)

So, if say we cornered 1,000 perfectly representable Utahns.

At least 234 of them would not be registered (I say "at least" because that 470,000 Utahns could be 474,500 as the article used a round number)...

Of the remaining 766 of that 1,000-person pool -- all of whom are registered -- at least 153 of them didn't vote.

So 234 + 153 = 387 ... that would mean at best, Utah could have mustered no more than a 61.3% turnout...which is better than the 57% mentioned in the article.

Not sure how 61% would compare to other states...

And not sure what numbers were crunched to get the 57% figure...

At the very least, we can say that...
(a)...at least 470,000 voting-eligible Utahns are NOT registered to vote;
and (b)...at least 294,000 registered Utah voters did NOT vote in the 2012 presidential election!

That's at least 764,000 Utah residents...over 3/4 of a million!

If only 55% of them were Lds (Utah is 60% Lds), that's over 400,000 Mormons NOT voting when a Mormon ran for POTUS!

Based on extrapolating these numbers, you could easily toss in at least another 100,000 Mormons in OTHER states who likewise didn't vote...And Mitt could have drawn another half-a-million votes if he had only secured his "home base" of Mormons!

5 posted on 11/27/2012 3:32:45 PM PST by Colofornian
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