Posted on 11/12/2012 8:58:45 AM PST by SeekAndFind
APIn Ryan Lizza's story in this week's The New Yorker, Texas' newly-elected Republican Senator Ted Cruz worries about the changing electoral landscape --- and how it could get even less favorable for the GOP in coming years.
Cruz provides what must be a truly terrifying thought for the Republican Party:
"In not too many years, Texas could switch from being all Republican to all Democrat," he said. "If that happens, no Republican will ever again win the White House. New York and California are for the foreseeable future unalterably Democrat. If Texas turns bright blue, the Electoral College math is simple. We won't be talking about Ohio, we won't be talking about Florida or Virginia, because it won't matter. If Texas is bright blue, you can’t get to two-seventy electoral votes. The Republican Party would cease to exist. We would become like the Whig Party. Our kids and grandkids would study how this used to be a national political party. ‘They had Conventions, they nominated Presidential candidates. They don’t exist anymore.’”
Mitt Romney already faced a tough road to the White House through the electoral map this year, and the country's shifting demographics make the map an even bigger problem for the Republican Party in future elections.
Some Democrats think that Texas and Arizona could be the next to become swing states, and there were signs of a future Democratic invasion into these Southwestern states during the 2012 campaign, including San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro's keynote speech at the Democratic National Convention.
Cruz is right: Without Texas' 38 electoral votes, it would be virtually impossible for Republicans to win a presidential election. There is simply not a corresponding state that Republicans are targeting to go from blue to red.
(Excerpt) Read more at businessinsider.com ...
I should have qualified this better. My point is to have more education of the conservative way. One quick example was in Ohio. Romney had set up 6 offices statewide. The Democrats had 133. You cannot win an election when you allow the opposition to have this number of offices during an election in an important swing state and expect to win. I personally volunteer to teach ESL on weekends for free. I also work into my class civics and history. I am trying to do my part to affect as many potential voters as I can in a positive way. Just my 2 cents. We must do more than what we are currently doing.
That is the type of reaching out that can be effective. Sometimes people mean the other thing. Good. Thanks for your efforts too.
Most people that die are old and white.
Old white people vote Republican in the majority.
Young non-white people vote Dem > 70%.
So the trend is against us, at least to my view.
You make a good point.
I’m certainly no expert on this stuff.
Fl, Oh, and Va do have Republican govs and went for Baraq.
The noise of “racism” overcomes your well thought-out realities and your exposition of the real problem. Maybe what Obama said about “you can’t change Washington from the inside” is true of the Republican Party on this issue. Somehow a way must be found to have what you have stated heard.People only hear “bumper stickers” it seems.Something like, “importing slave labor much?”
There are still old White Dems, old black people, old hispanic people, old all other people that die as well.
Young people vote Dem unitl they start working and paying a lot in taxes, then they vote Republican.
Well, a complaint sometimes heard from black politicians is that in the SS system, black men are financing the SS of white women because black men have one of the lower life expectancis and white women the highest.
People of all groups die, and I think whites in general have longer life expectancy than minorities. I don't think your statement means much. Minority voters don't live as long as white voters on average. Actaully, that gives an advantage to white voters as they have longer life expectancy and vote in more election cycles.
And, many liberal young whites become wiser as they age and are conservatives in the 30s or later on.
So Cruz is NOT TERRIFIED? The aritcle doesn’t say he’s “terrified.” That is the word the author uses.
But I’m all for the Repub party going away. Problem is that any new party would be infiltrated by liberals just like the Pubs were.
Young working LEGAL Hispanics are a potential GOP voting block but no one approaches them. Lately I have spoken to three hard working hispanics who are very conservative. We need to be going to the schools, we need to be going to the colleges. They are fluent English speakers and nice kids.
We ignore these kids at our peril. Obama ran a bottom up campaign while we ran a top down. Got to get out and talk to people they want to hear from us.
“But it could be if we spent more time reaching out to these groups. Today there are very few conservative groups that actually reach out to these demographic groups.”
Exactly what is this “reaching out” that you speak of? Even if your extended hand has a wad of money for them, they aren’t particularly interested. The black and hispanics have been so brainwashed for the last 50 years that they have an ingrained gut reaction against the GOP. They don’t think, they feel. Besides money, what could you possibly offer those disaffected groups without giving up the very essence of being a Republican?
You often have such relevant statistics. And we often hear that 47 million Americans are on food stamps and that 100 million receive some sort of payment from government.
I've often wondered about a couple of stats our government does not seem to provide:
1. What percentage of working age American heads of households don't work, and receive most or all of the support for themselves and their dependents from government?
2. Now 41% of US children are born out-of-wedlock. Do you know what percentage of the single moms are on welfare, or receive most of their support form government?
Those two are related, but also some differances.
Just from the stats we are provided, it looks like somewhere around 12% - 20% of US heads of household could receive most of their support from government. And those on welfare more or less permanently never appear in our unemployment stats.
Do you have any idea on this, or any estimate of what the percentages might be?
And, I think there is little or no hope of ever turnng around our economy until huge reductions are made in the trillion per year now spent on welfare programs, and several million adults are moved from welfare to work.
We can look back to the early 1900s when finally a coalition was put together to limit legal immigration. It consisted of business, the labor unions, and immigrants. Our slogan could be "American jobs for American workers." The people hurt worst by our current immigration policies are immigrants, Hispanics, and blacks. Blacks and Hispanics have the highest unemployment rates. There wages and jobs are being depressed by a steady stream of cheap, exploitable labor. Business is privatizing the profits and socializing the costs, which are enormous.
The problem will get worse if more and more white collar and professionally skilled immigrants come in and hurt heretofore insulated US college graduates who have unemployment rates of 4%. There will be a growing dissatisfaction among the educated as they feel the effects of immigration. They will not be able to find jobs or take jobs that are not commensurate with their education. And they will have the irritant of having to pay off huge college loans.
That won’t happen because first the politicians will take every dime every working person earns. They are destroying the middle class. Soon there will only be two classes, guess which ones.
Problem is, they don't. They move in and immediately take over and turn everything into what they left behind. Between the northern/wester libs moving south and the illegals invading north, we're doomed. There's even some Katrina trash that a church gave many acres of the most prime taxable land to. They've built an entire community there for their friends and family and it's all tax exempt. I used to know all my neighbors and we'd have huge potlucks. Not anymore. Too many wacky libs have moved in and turned the neighborhood upside down.
Ted, no republican is going to win the white house now.
Florida is blue and Ohio is blue.
Texas doesn’t matter, it’s game over right now.
Read Post #61
And don't forget the frog legs ... never forget the frog legs!
We see a lot of polls about how Hispanics vote, how they prefer Democrats to Republicans. One survey I think would tell us a lot that I never recall seeing would be to also include information about how long the Hispanic voter’s family has been in the US, and their economic status.
I absolutely believe that Republicans do well among Hispanics who are established and whose families have been in the US for years. Texas would have a good percentage that has been there for decades. But I haven’t seen polls that give us such information.
The city and county of Dallas is run by Democrats, so is Houston, to say that turning red will happen because of demogrpahics is crap. It happened in Dallas because the Rep leaders did a poor job of runnning the city in a way taht built party loyalty.
That’s because they have options and to them for that reason, the bottom hasn’t dropped yet. Sooner or later, probably later, people will wake up. The GOP didn’t get 70% of the white vote way back when. I realize the demographics present substantial problems, but those models/predictions assume Anglos et al won’t adjust to the changing politics, policies, taxes and social costs. We have seen it now for decades in the cities and counties, and also in the states. People will adjust their lifestyles and relocations accordingly. Their politics too.
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