A week before the election, Dick Morris was predicting a Romney landslide. I’m not saying that disqualifies him from ever working in a GOP campaign, but it does make me wonder just how much “talent” a lot of these people really have.
Dick Morris is wrong so often on his predictions, you can almost take the opposite of whatever he’s predicting to be what will really happen.
a lot of that is just wanting to keep morale up on our side. If someone like Morris or Rove comes out and says Romney’s going to lose, that causes a lot of folks to stay home or get demoralized.
The dems do the same thing. Look at 2010 when people like Pelosi and Bill Clinton and flacks like Carville and Begala were talking about the dems would hold the House. they knew what was going to happen, but were playing their part.
Given that voters are not soldiers in a military campaign and can't be dragooned into voting, it's essential that they be made to think that their candidate has a chance of winning. If they think disaster is inevitable, they won't take an hour or hours from their daily lives to drive to the polling station, get in line and vote. Negativity can turn a defeat into super-majorities for the other side. Also, who's going to contribute funds to a campaign he thinks is likely to lose - money he could hang on to for things like Christmas presents and steak dinners? Negativity becomes self-fulfilling prophecy.
I have decided that they don’t know anymore than we do. It’s all pure speculation and I can speculate as well as Rove. No one can read the future and that’s that.
I know! Where is our side’s version of Nate Silver? Not only do we not have a Republican party who understands the electorate, we don’t have conservative media types who under stand it either.
DM is a non-entity as far as I am concerned.