Posted on 11/09/2012 9:18:15 AM PST by lasereye
President Obamas campaign organization is the greatest political machine in modern history.
How it was possible to take a moribund economy, high unemployment, and no detectable foreign policy and turn it into a sweeping electoral victory over a credible opponent is one of the great political stories of our time.
Plouffe, Messina, Axelrod. Political geniuses who wiped away forever the Clinton campaign axiom, Its the economy, stupid, and replaced it with, Its the Community Organizing, Stupid.
A few years ago, I was talking to a Democratic member of Congress who is close to Obama. She who told me of seeing him on the podium as Obama was trumpeting his victory in the 2008 Iowa Caucuses over Hillary Clinton, the win that propelled him to the Democratic nomination and, ultimately, the presidency.
Nothing like a little community organizing, Obama told her.
More than anything more than changing demographics, Hurricane Sandy, the Romney campaigns mistakes or anything else it was the Obama campaigns relentless organization and prodding of its supporters and independents that made Obamas success a reality.
The campaign collected peoples emails and addresses anyplace they could find them from beauty salons to campaign rallies. They used them effectively, asking repeatedly through personalized messages for peoples money or their time.
I was signed up for the Obama campaigns emails. They each began, Keith. I was signed up for the Romney campaign emails. They each began, Friend.
Im not any campaigns friend. I am Keith.
And on Election Day, Obamas vast organization got everyone to the polls.
It is estimated that more black people, not fewer, voted in 2012 than 2008. More Latinos voted, not fewer, and an even greater percentage of them supported Obama this time. The youth vote did not decline from 2008. All this despite flagging enthusiasm for the president.
Heres a telling anecdote related by a senior Obama aide to the press pool on Wednesdays flight from Chicago back to Washington.
During flight, a campaign official talked about the ground game on background . . .In describing the ground game, the official told of a conversation he had with a top field director on Monday. The GOP had tweeted that they had knocked on 75,000 doors in Ohio the day prior. Not to worry, the director said, we knocked on 376,000.
Then the president came in, and this aide said, Tell him the door thing. So he did. And the president responded, Thats my team.
That was not Romneys team. Romneys team was back in Boston Tuesday night, watching in awe:
In Chicago, the campaign recruited a team of behavioral scientists to build an extraordinarily sophisticated database packed with names of millions of undecided voters and potential supporters. The ever-expanding list let the campaign find and register new voters who fit the demographic pattern of Obama backers and methodically track their views through thousands of telephone calls every night.
That allowed the Obama campaign not only to alter the very nature of the electorate, making it younger and less white, but also to create a portrait of shifting voter allegiances. The power of this operation stunned Mr. Romneys aides on election night, as they saw voters they never even knew existed turn out in places like Osceola County, Fla. Its one thing to say you are going to do it; its another thing to actually get out there and do it, said Brian Jones, a senior adviser.
Brian Jones and company didnt do it. According to a fascinating piece by Sean Trende at RealClearPolitics, turnout, far more than the changing demographics everyone is talking about, was the key to Obamas victory.
And who didnt turn out? White people, who overwhelmingly backed Romney when they did make it to the polls. Republicans need to attract more minority voters. But if white voters dont show up, they still wont win.
According to Trende, about 6.7 million fewer whites voted on Election Day 2012 than in 2008. A critical statistic in a race Obama won by only about 3 million votes.
Part of the reason they stayed home, Trende says, might be that these voters didnt like Obama but had fallen sway to the Obama campaigns negative emphasis on Romneys wealth, as well as Romneys own failure to articulate a message.
But Obamas base wasnt particularly excited either. And they showed up.
There are two lessons for Republicans in this. The first is obvious: Run a better campaign.
But the second, which flows from the first, is less obvious. Some Republicans are already talking about the need to moderate the Republican message.
But campaign workers wont spend 20 hours a day at the office working for nothing to elect someone without a clear philosophy they can wrap their arms around. And voters wont turn out unless they can understand a candidates views and be enthusiastic about it.
Romney failed to aggressively embrace a philosophy of any sort. If he had run as a true conservative and explained relentlessly why conservative policies are needed, he might have attracted the right people to his organization and put them in a position to bring motivated voters to the polls.
Because, its the community organizing, stupid.
Free Shit for votes thats what it boils down to
I guess that’s why Obama got 10M less votes than in 2008.
Partly. But their campaign operation was at another level.
Facing a uncharasmatic “moderate” Republican who ran a lackluster campaign had nothing to do with the Obama victory?
I beg to disagree.
“How it was possible to take a moribund economy, high unemployment, and no detectable foreign policy and turn it into a sweeping electoral victory over a credible opponent is one of the great political stories of our time. “
simple- between 3.5 to 7 million voters affiliated with the party of your opponent don’t go out and vote...its easy to win when your opponent doesn’t show up or shows up at half strength....
LLS
I think it was 9M as of the day after the election but they actually continue counting millions of ballots for a couple of weeks afterwards. Both Obama and Romney will pick up a few million more.
However many less they got, without that operation it would have been worse and he would have lost.
But they knew a dirty election game would make many conservatives staying at home and they made it.
the sad thing is he won by 350K votes in four states...
Pretty easy to explain. 3 million conservative Republicans did not vote. They didn’t show. The GOP failed to provide them with policies that would bring them out, as they did with McCaine, and they were not biting the second time with Mitt.
Limbaugh dedicated a whole page to the issue:
http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/daily/2012/11/08/why_did_three_million_republicans_stay_home
And its been revealed also here:
Title: Where did the Voters Go?
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/2957326/posts
(Neither the GOP or the left want to talk about it.Instead its ‘ Obama is an electoral genius......Buahahahahahaha!)
In Chicago, the campaign recruited a team of behavioral scientists to build an extraordinarily sophisticated database packed with names of millions of undecided voters and potential supporters. The ever-expanding list let the campaign find and register new voters who fit the demographic pattern of Obama backers and methodically track their views through thousands of telephone calls every night.
Liberals have power propaganda machine, unions, community organizers.......
They can easily divide and confuse conservatives.
Quote of the day from site here at source:
“I told you Ann, nobody cares anymore. Put the dog on top of the car and let’s go.”
- Mitt Romney
Not buying it. Not even Der Schlickster in all his largess ever, ever enjoyed this kind of media treatment. Even Clinton had to face the media in his Presidency. This guy has a full fledged ministry of propaganda at his disposal. I will say it again, take care of the media or there is no winning.
Strip away all of the analyses of this election and realize it boils down to this: the something for nothing crowd outnumbers the producers and achievers in this country. The gravy train is running with full steam ahead and right now there is nothing we can do to stop it.
Obama uses his race as a force field, people are afraid to criticize him out of fear of being labelled a racist.
Let’s not forget that Obama has the lap-dog main stream media in his corner like no politician has ever had.
Stories like Fast and Furious, Solyndra, Benghazi, don’t matter if the networks choose to pay little or no attention to it.
There were hardly any news stories about the number of dead soldiers in the Middle East, high gas pricess, etc.
Of courses, Romney’s tax returns were what everyone had to hear about for months on end.
I could go on and I’m sure the rest of you can.
community organizing ping, mobilize
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.