332,754 Votes Would Have Secured a Romney Victory

Quora ^ | November 8, 2012 | Richard Tabassi

[CreviceTool]

Ran across this on Quora: What is the minimum number of people who would have had to change their vote for Romney to have won?

Richard Tabassi, Renaissance Ape, Occasionally Witty Biped

Around 1/3 of a million in the right states. [1,2,3,4] EC 18:Ohio[1] Romney needed 103,520 people to win EC 29:Florida[2] Romney needed 50,869 people to win EC 13: Virginia[3] Romney Needed 111,985 people to win EC 6: Nevada[4] Romney Needed: 66,380 to win

Total: 332,754 to win Electoral College

There might be a combination that get him there in a shorter amount that I am not seeing yet, will update when I have time to crunch more numbers.

[1]Election results (huffingtonpost.com) Ohio [2]Election results (huffingtonpost.com) Florida [3]Election results (huffingtonpost.com) Virginia [4]Election results (huffingtonpost.com) Nevada

[CreviceTool]

Forget the popular vote and comparisons to McCain, etc. It was just these states and a small number of voters that made the difference.

[cripplecreek]

448,875 in Michigan.

[WaterWeWaitinFor]

Easily all covered by small amounts of election fraud / fake people voting here and there. Imagine that?

Thug Dems usually can’t win an election on their own merrits.

GOP candidates need to go for the jugular - bring that Gun to the Knife Fight! We once again were too nice. My 2 cents.

[BarbM]

The reason Romney lost was RUSH announced that he’d win by a landlslide, so the “evangelicals” decided since it was in the bag, they didn’t need to vote.

RUSH was WRONG. He needs to take ownership of his part in the failed election. He blames you all.

Here in MN 80% of us vote, why didn’t you vote????

[Gator113]

Sickening.

[cripplecreek]

All around weird numbers in Michigan. It sucks to be stuck with stupidcow again I do think its funny that she got 171,091 more votes than Obama.

Another oddity is the fact that the union is patting themselves on the back for re-electing Obama but they apparently voted against their own constitutional amendments. Prop 2 would have given them the power to veto the state legislature and prop 4 would have allowed them to seize union dues from people not represented by the union.

[CreviceTool]

I knew Hoekstra was going to lose (likely something Hoekstra already knew) when I received an Election Day invite his Victory Party at Peppino’s Restaurant in Grand Rapids. Hardly the venue for a successful Senate campaign.

[little jeremiah]

So the thugdems didn’t need to steal a huge number, then.

[cripplecreek]

Actually Rush warned way back in December that nominating moderate Mitt would lose the election.

VAN SUSTEREN: Why has Governor Mitt Romney not had a so-called "surge"? We hear "surge" used with basically every Republican nominee, but you don't see that "surge" with Governor Romney.

RUSH: Well, every poll I've seen of Republican primary voters, he can't crack 30 percent. It has been curious. And you look at it from the reverse, 70 percent of Republican voters want somebody else. This is why we have the phenomenon of the "Not-Romney." Bachmann was the "Not-Romney" for a while. Herman Cain was the "Not-Romney." Now Newt is the "Not-Romney." I think it boils down to something that's not complicated at all. Republican primary voters are conservative. They don't believe that Romney is. They believe that he will stick a finger in the air and moisten it and see which way the winds are blowing and try to get in that direction. They remember that Romney said he believes in global warming and he believes that man is causing it. Well, conservatives don't believe that. They believe it's a hoax. Conservatives know that the whole story of man-made global warming is a hoax. And they're not going to get excited by a candidate who is trying to gain favor with non-Republican primary voters by articulating that stuff.

Here's the big problem, Greta, for the Republicans. And I am a lone wolf on this. The rule of thumb in elections, both parties, 40 percent are going to vote Democrat automatically, whatever you do, 40 percent are going to vote Republican, automatic, no matter what you do. And in the middle, who do we have? The precious, God love them, independents and the moderates. And they are the targets. They are the focus of every election. And our brilliant campaign consultants tell our candidates they are the ones that know how to go get a majority of those independents. And we have, as Republicans, put ourselves in prison to this whole silly notion that you only win elections by moving to the center and getting great independents. Fine and dandy, but if you squander your base in the process, you haven't a prayer.

Rush Goes On the Record with Fox News Channel's Greta Van Susteren

[BarbM]

“Actually Rush warned way back in December that nominating moderate Mitt would lose the election.”

bull. On Monday 11/5 and Tuesday 11/6 Rush announded that Romney would win by a landslide.

What he said directly before the election mattered.

RUSH BLEW IT. and the lazy “evangelicals’ listened to him.

[GerardKempf]

We can use this in four years.

[cripplecreek]

Hoekstra ran an awfully bland nearly invisible campaign. Its too bad because he would have been a great asset on the defense and security front. In the 7th district, Walberg ran a surprisingly aggressive against an invisible democrat.

It seems to confirm what I said all along. The democrats didn’t try to make gains in Michigan but played pure defense.

[cripplecreek]

The “lazy evangelicals” do their own thinking.

Rush was pushing Romney just like I was and I could never stand Romney.

[DrC]

Using the NY Times vote totals, I get an even smaller number:

Romney needed 51, 940 votes to win Florida’s 29 electoral college votes; he needed 103,520 people to win Ohio’s 18 electoral votes; he needed 115,911 people to win Virginia’s 13 electoral votes; he needed 40,660 to win New Hampshire’s 4 EVs.

Total: 312,041 to win the Electoral College

This amounts to 0.263 percent of all votes cast for Obama and Romney. Does an election in which the result could have been reversed by roughly 1/4 of 1 percent of the electorate voting differently sound like a “mandate” to you? It’s comical to see progressives leap to assure us Obama has a mandate to raise taxes, implement Obamacare etc. based on such weak election results.

[CreviceTool]

There you go...an even smaller number. Might even be smaller when all votes are tallied in the states over the next 30 days.

WE NEED GET THIS INFORMATION INTO THE CONSERVATIVE ECHO CHAMBER!

[Colofornian]

Ohio, Florida, VA yeah...but finding another 66,000 votes in Nevada would have been very difficult...minus the Mormon church driving people to the polls the way black churches drive their members to the polls...(Nevada is 8% Lds & has some broader connections via the Boy Scouts)

[DoughtyOne]

Florida
Ohio
Iowa
Virginia

If you take the vote difference in these states, divide each by half, and subtract one from Obama and add one vote to Romney in each state, it only takes the following number to put Romney at 272 Electoral votes.

179,934 votes

[CreviceTool]

MORE BETTAH!

[DoughtyOne]

I failed one adjustment, so the number would be 179,938 not 179,934.

[Let_It_Be_So]

I also heard Rush emphasize how important turnout was going to be with this particular election. Guess they had turned off their radio by then?

Anyone who chose to not vote in THIS election because of something they heard on the radio cannot blame anyone but themselves.