Posted on 11/06/2012 10:34:17 AM PST by SmithL
The number of Californians who vote in today's election is expected to drop by 1 million compared with four years ago, despite a record number of registered voters in the state.
And for the first time in state history, more votes are expected to be cast by mail than at a precinct.
Those are predictions of a Field Poll released today, which says 69.9 percent of registered California voters, or nearly 12.75 million people, are likely to turn out for this year's general election, compared with 79.4 percent in the 2008 contest between Sen. John McCain and then-Sen. Barack Obama.
"I believe the potential election of the United States' first African American president, who had really captured Californians, led to a really unusual turnout," said Field Poll Director Mark DiCamillo.
"This time there is just not as much excitement. We've made history."
(Excerpt) Read more at sacbee.com ...
Lower turnout generally means fewer Democrats and about the same Republicans.
The way citizens are registered makes a big difference in turnout. If you’re cornered on the way into a market to be registered as a Democrat, are you going to be as likely to show up and vote as you would be if you sought out a way to register Republican?
Republican voters go to the polls. Conservatives always show up.
So if California’s expected vote is down 10%, guess what. That means that the Democrat candidates can expect about 10% less vote than last time. And the Conservative candidates can expect about the same vote, perhaps a bit less.
There’s going to be a lot of whining tonight. Conservative causes are gong to show a lot better than the Left is going to like.
Heh, heh, heh...
“United States’ first African American president, who had really captured Californians”
Hmmm.....if Obama had really Captured “them” they would still be enthusiastic ?
I know we will go blue, but really hoping these numbers help Prop 32 pass.
CA Obamatron voters know O is going to lose so there isn’t much urgency to turn out for him.
I believe that would be the case if the low turnout holds. I also think that Prop 30 would fail with the low turnout.
Well, it should help a lot of the initiatives from our perspective. Here’s to that...
Thousands moved back to Mexico.
I think Chris Matthews is the model for what’s taking place nationwide.
The tingle is gone...
The perception by the Left is that Obama didn’t do enough for them. Yeah, that beats me too, but I think it’s true.
Gonna be a lot of Leftist sitting on their hands today in California.
I think Chris Matthews is the model for what’s taking place nationwide.
The tingle is gone...
The perception by the Left is that Obama didn’t do enough for them. Yeah, that beats me too, but I think it’s true.
Gonna be a lot of Leftists sitting on their hands today in California.
Just voted in Whittier California. There was only ONE other person in the polling place and it was my son. The kind old lady gave me a little pack of Whoppers when I checked in and then I went into the booth and SCORED, the person that voted before I did accidentally left their little Abba Zabba for me. Sweetness voting in CA
I hope it’s people like the surly black guy who called Michael Medved yesterday and said - ‘If Obama doesn’t win, I’m never voting again. The elections are rigged. All politics is for shinola.’ Bring it on.
Actually, over the past few years, large numbers of blacks left CA for states in the east and south....Like Georgia, North Carolina and Ohio, Texas etc.
The stats clearly back this up.
From 2000 to 2010, many Southern cities — particularly in Florida, Georgia and North Carolina — saw their African-American populations increase by at least 20 percent and, in some cases, a considerably higher percentage.
I’m telling you, California is in play!
Me and my friend just cancelled out the two black mamas votes that were in front of us. ;)
You’re assuming they didn’t vote for Mitt...
Just voted in Reseda in the San Fernando valley turn out at two polling places was very light. Equal to normal local issue voting. in 2008 there were about a hundred voters(only seen one last time.) This time at most 20 voters at each polling location.
I hope so. I had to stand in line and wait for the first time, but my entire little rural town is conservative.
Woodland Hills light turn out at 9:30, warm and clear. In 2008 there was a line out the door, cool and drizzle.
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