Posted on 11/06/2012 6:53:26 AM PST by rlbedfor
For the statistically inclined, here is a link to the 2008 vote in Ohio. Scroll down a bit for the county-by-county tabulation.
For the statistically inclined, here is a link to the 2008 vote in Ohio. Scroll down a bit for the county-by-county tabulation.
Obama will have a lead coming out of early voting (which includes absentees in Ohio's tally); what matters is how large the lead is. In 2008, he netted more than 300,000 votes in the early period, and won the state by 262,000. This time, he's down at least 125,000 so far (as of yesterday, some votes are still coming in this morning).
Our peeps on Twitter (including LS) think we need to get about a 6% turnout margin today to win, and the last Dispatch poll showed Romney winning in-person voters by 11%. It'll be close (I think), but I think we pull it off.
Sorry about the double post. I got a “Server Error” on my first try. FreeRepublic has been slow and glitchy lately, probably due to interest in the election.
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They are just going by party affiliation of those who voted, not actually the votes themselves........
And they assume that ALL (D) voters vote for Obozo. That aint necessarily so.............
I don’t how they handle, count or process, early votes. I doubt they have been counted as of yet.
However news sites construct articles/data for publishing at some later time and this isn’t the first time something meant to go live at a later time has slipped though. Chances are this is an article being constructed to go live later today or after the polls close.
People need to have a strong shot in the arm of 2004......these kind of early voting figures were touted by Dems causing a tidal wave of motivated late Bush voters.......
until them polls close, it is healthy to believe this is on a knife edgde...healthy for the campaign that is, not your average FReepers health!
They are just going by party affiliation of those who voted, not actually the votes themselves........
You're ruining my breakfast. ;)
What is your source?
As far as I know, that’s exactly the case.
Early votes are counted, because they are electronic.
Provisionals and absentees are only opened and counted if their total count exceeds the margin of victory.
Wow! Yes! Yes! Yes!
“I doubt they have been counted as of yet.”
It looks to me like they have been counted:
http://news.cincinnati.com/article/20121106/NEWS010601/311060015/?nclick_check=1
Thoughts on this?
The Democrats might even muster an early lead, but once all the Republicans get out of work and vote, it will go the other way very quickly
This is EARLY VOTING.
Doesn’t look like all of the precincts have reported early voting numbers. The fact that the total is already at 24% of the expected vote leads me to believe this is bogus data.
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