Intrade had Paul Ryan with only a 4% chance of being chosen VP. Their money was on Portman.
They also had Obamacare being overturned.
This is cheap advertising for the Kenyan by foreigners.
That’s encouraging that they are wrong sometimes. I can only assume that with all the money raised for the Fraud a good amount of it was spent on Intratrade to make it look like he was a winner.
I would assume people are betting for real on most of what they predict and not using the bets to manipulate public opinion, as you have pointed out in this instance.
Thanks