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Prediction: Romney 325, Obama 213
The Hill ^ | 11/05/12 08:21 PM ET | Dick Morris

Posted on 11/05/2012 7:10:38 PM PST by Red Steel

Yup. That’s right. A landslide for Romney approaching the magnitude of Obama’s against McCain. That’s my prediction.

On Sunday, we changed our clocks. On Tuesday, we’ll change our president.

Romney will win the states McCain carried in 2008, plus: Florida, Indiana, Virginia, North Carolina, Colorado, Iowa, Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Minnesota.

In the popular vote, Romney will win by more than 5 points.

The Obama campaign made the following key mistakes:

• It bet the farm on negative ads in swing states. It didn’t realize that Mitt’s convention speech and the three debates would give him the chance to live down the charges and demonstrate — through facts and his demeanor — that they were baseless.

• Obama had no Plan B if the negatives didn’t work. He never really laid in a convincing defense of his record, except to recall the mess that he inherited and to try to make people believe things were better. He had no vision for his second term, except more of same. He never moved to the center — the shift that reelected Bill Clinton.

• Obama drew his list of swing states too narrowly. He did not contemplate that he would be forced to defend Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan or Minnesota and squandered his money contesting unwinnable states like North Carolina. When Romney bypassed Obama’s “firewall” states (like the Germans did the French Maginot Line in World War II), the president had not laid in the necessary prophylactic irradiation of negative ads, and three of the states embraced Romney.

• By focusing on the negative, Obama sacrificed first his personal popularity and then his dignity and presidentiality. No longer was he the hope and the change. He became nothing more than a nasty partisan, throwing epithets at his rival. A president does not let himself be quoted as saying that his opponent is a “bullsh--ter” or that voting is the best “revenge.” Even his dress was wrong. Instead of appearing in a dark suit, he dressed in an open-neck white shirt, trying to be everyman but succeeding only in not looking like a president.

• Since he offered nothing more than a negative campaign and a grab-bag of special-interest pleadings for single women, unions, college kids and minorities, Obama failed to inspire the turnout that he needed. Against Santorum and Gingrich, Obama could have made the case that their prospective presidencies were sufficiently dangerous that liberals and Democrats must rush to the polls to stop them. But against the congenial Romney, the warnings rang hollow.

• In the first debate, Obama was terrible. We’ll likely find out what his excuses are after the polls close. Did he have the flu? Was it the altitude? Had he, as Bob Woodward suggested, just received a dose of bad news? Why did he appear distracted?

• Obama should have gotten the facts out quickly about Benghazi rather than let them drip, drip, drip out over six weeks. He could then have handled the crisis and won points for determination and toughness. Instead, to the very end, he looked like he was covering up the fact of a terrorist attack. Because he was.

• After Sandy, Obama visited New Jersey and surveyed the damage with Gov. Chris Christie (R). He should have stayed on the storm, superintending relief efforts, urging FEMA on, absorbing the lessons of Bush’s failure to cope well with Katrina. Instead, he returned to the partisan wars and the strident speeches in swing states.

None of this should take away from Romney’s brilliant campaign. By staying on the economy and not being tempted into side issues like Libya, Mitt kept the focus where it needed to be and never let up. His campaign’s foray into Pennsylvania, Minnesota and Wisconsin was vital to his chances of victory. More about what Mitt did right in my post-election column on Thursday. But for now, let’s celebrate the new president we are about to elect.


TOPICS: Editorial; Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; dickmorris
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To: 2ndDivisionVet

“..... say it’s gonna rain, buy a boat.”

LOL.... I am old enough that I should have heard that before, but it’s new to me and I love it.


41 posted on 11/05/2012 8:13:13 PM PST by Gator113 (I would have voted for NEWT, now it's Romney & Ryan.~Just livin' life, my way~)
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To: saleman

19 hours 50 minutes CUT ‘ER LOOSE ~ we will really need to start tossing some logs in the way


42 posted on 11/05/2012 8:14:49 PM PST by muawiyah
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To: Red Steel

we will see. There is no way Romney does all that and carries both Ohio and PA. I would be delighted to be proven wrong but my prediction is that Obama wins this thing. There are just too many non taxpayers that want Obama-phones and free money from rich people


43 posted on 11/05/2012 8:20:31 PM PST by plain talk
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To: muawiyah

“19 hrs 50 minutes CUT ‘ER LOOSE ~ we will really need to start tossing some logs in the way”

I’m not exactly sure what that means but I am voting for the liberal. The communist, I hope he dies a slow and painful death. But, I’ve been entirely too good lately and I feel like I need to do something that will make me feel dirty in the morning.


44 posted on 11/05/2012 8:26:06 PM PST by saleman (!!!!)
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To: saleman

Oh well, maybe you never really had any principles. Get over it. It’s OK.


45 posted on 11/05/2012 8:26:19 PM PST by Henry Hnyellar
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To: Henry Hnyellar

Oh, I got principles. I just don’t follow them a whole lot. It’s a damn good thing that God is a forgiving God.


46 posted on 11/05/2012 8:32:06 PM PST by saleman (!!!!)
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To: saleman

Better Mitt Romney than a Marxist Muslim anti- Christian anti-American gun-grabbing Kenyan Keynesian!


47 posted on 11/05/2012 8:33:28 PM PST by ZULU (See video: http://gatesofvienna.blogspot.com/2012/09/the-first-siege-of-vienna.html)
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To: ZULU
Yea well....I'll give you a Marxist Muslim gun grabber....and give you a Liberal, Mormon (not that there is anything wrong with that), gun grabber. And raise you a Massachusetts, Ted Kennedy Obama Care.
48 posted on 11/05/2012 8:37:38 PM PST by saleman (!!!!)
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To: saleman

Look, I gotta go to bed pretty soon. Isn’t anyone gonna call me a Mormon hater?

Anyone?

Hope ya’ll feel happy with yourselves. I just feel used like a 14yo girl after the prom. Way after. Like you were supposed to be home at 12 but the car ran out of gas and we couldn’t find anyone to help us and I’m sorry I got home at six in the morning used.

So, anyway I’m gonna vote in the morning and I’m voting for Romney. I sure would feel better if the Republican establishment used a condom. But, 12 hrs of sleep and it’ll all be OK!


49 posted on 11/05/2012 8:58:02 PM PST by saleman (!!!!)
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To: saleman

Trust me. I feel your pain
But definitely the lesser of two evils.


50 posted on 11/05/2012 9:05:22 PM PST by ZULU (See video: http://gatesofvienna.blogspot.com/2012/09/the-first-siege-of-vienna.html)
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To: Red Steel

Dick, you put your money where your mouthis, I’ll give you that. You strike me as a man who just slid all of his chips into the center of the table supremely confident that a face card is going to be drawn and win you the hand. I sure hope you’re right.


51 posted on 11/05/2012 9:06:35 PM PST by Mustangman (The GOP)
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To: Red Steel

This is no-brainer.
Romney will have a landslide win over 0.
Why?
You can figure out from:
* 0 said: vote for Revenge! lol. revenge for what?!
what happened to his “change” and now “forward” and
“forward!”?? oh i see lol, revenge! hahaha.

* Peggy Noonan was right in her article about
the fun session with the catholic ppl, that 0 looked
like a challenger, and Romney looked calm, relax and
presidential... why? Because both of them had their
internal polls and each side knew How they were actually
progressing...

* 0 said in a rally: i got a proof, i got a scar! that
now i have grey hair as a result of fighting for you
day and night! lol

* 0’s ppl are getting desperate during interviews
on tv, they chose specific words that sounded
desperate..
.. Stephanie Cutter, Gibbs etc etc... they knew! lol


52 posted on 11/05/2012 9:11:04 PM PST by indpndtguy
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To: Red Steel

This is no-brainer.
Romney will have a landslide win over 0.
Why?
You can figure out from:
* 0 said: vote for Revenge! lol. revenge for what?!
what happened to his “change” and now “forward” and
“forward!”?? oh i see lol, revenge! hahaha.

* Peggy Noonan was right in her article about
the fun session with the catholic ppl, that 0 looked
like a challenger, and Romney looked calm, relax and
presidential... why? Because both of them had their
internal polls and each side knew How they were actually
progressing...

* 0 said in a rally: i got a proof, i got a scar! that
now i have grey hair as a result of fighting for you
day and night! lol

* 0’s ppl are getting desperate during interviews
on tv, they chose specific words that sounded
desperate..
.. Stephanie Cutter, Gibbs etc etc... they knew! lol


53 posted on 11/05/2012 9:11:37 PM PST by indpndtguy
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To: Kitty Mittens
At work tonight I had to drop off some stuff at one our Affiliate locations. I was talking to the Woman that runs the place.

She admitted to me that she Voted Obama in 2008. Let me tell everyone here something, SHE HATES OBAMA'S GUTS!

I don't mean she was disappointed in what he didn't get accomplished, or that he tried and failed. She said EVERYTHING Obama said then and says now IS A LIE!

Then she pontificated how Obama wasn't brought up as an American and he has no understanding of what it's like to be an American. She was hot, and she is hot too. LOL

I was dumbfounded. She and I had touched on some Political discussion in the past, but this was completely unexpected by me.

I'm not sure what to think right now, but I have a feeling that something is going to give, and give big time.

Did I mention I live in California?

54 posted on 11/05/2012 9:20:47 PM PST by Kickass Conservative (Win or lose, Impeach Obama Ben Ghazi...)
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To: Kickass Conservative
I'm not sure what to think right now, but I have a feeling that something is going to give, and give big time.

Did I mention I live in California?

California might surprise us all. We will be there when it happens!

55 posted on 11/05/2012 9:26:36 PM PST by thecodont
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To: Red Steel

Here’s my prediction map.

http://www.270towin.com/2012_election_predictions.php?mapid=bqzk&referring_service=twitter#.UJieVkFOPY4.twitter

Romney gets 332.


56 posted on 11/05/2012 9:26:55 PM PST by HawkHogan
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To: Red Steel

Romney will win states that havem’t gone GOP in a generation. And it won’t be close!

The enormous crowd in NH only hints at the gathering tsunami tomorrow. And the Left is in complete denial.

The next 24 hours fill the country with anticipation!


57 posted on 11/05/2012 9:28:52 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Signalman

damn right Signalman!!


58 posted on 11/05/2012 9:30:48 PM PST by BrianE ("Dead at 25 buried at 65 the average American" - Benjamin Franklin 1776)
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To: Revolting cat!
Dude, I'm more nervous than Nervous Norvus!

Maybe you need a transfusion!

59 posted on 11/05/2012 9:34:06 PM PST by Slings and Arrows (You can't have IngSoc without an Emmanuel Goldstein.)
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To: JouleZ

no you mean all 57!


60 posted on 11/05/2012 9:36:16 PM PST by BrianE ("Dead at 25 buried at 65 the average American" - Benjamin Franklin 1776)
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