Nate Silver has it 91% chance Obama wins. Even if he does win, how can someone make such a one sided prediction based on the evenness of the national polls? Somethings fishy.
I firmly believe Silver is just a leftist prop whose sole function is to keep the dem base thinking positive enough to show up. I can’t see any other explanation other than he just WANTS it to be true...which I suppose is possible.
I also think dem operatives are propping up intrade and other election markets because they think it is an “inevitability” indicator.
Team Obama mapped this all out early, thinking they would be swamping Romney as a Wall Street Michael Douglas shark and all these little things would add up to a wave.
Now that THIS reality has occurred, these look like minor, silly things...but I still think they were planned.
I just saw Nate Silver's prediction, and I'm sure he gave odds of 86% for an Obama win, which is still pie-in-the-sky ridiculous. He's literally tossed his reputation like a Hail Mary pass in a losing game.