[LS]

I don't know that NV is gone. But if they deliberately leaked this and the OTHER numbers are right, and ZEro's guys know they are right, then maybe just maybe they'd let up enough in NV to win that as well.

It's certainly a fun game, but Rove, the Rs I know around here . . . no one is acting like they lost and every one is acting like they won.

[FredZarguna]

I agree. And I believe -- as I think you do -- that you can tell more from the demeanor of Republican (and Democrat) insiders than you can from "supersecret internal polling 'leaked' to the press."

I think Barone has looked carefully at the early voting precinct by precinct numbers and in doing that has determined what is pretty clear from the look on 0bama's face: they are nowhere close to their targets -- that actually matters more to them than 1 point in the polls.

And yes, it's quite fun to try and guess what's really going on. I wouldn't put it past them to engage in a little double-fake over Nevada.