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Dick Morris Stands By Prediction: Romney Will Win 325 Electoral Votes
Fox News video copied onto Real Clear Politics ^

Posted on 11/04/2012 11:56:33 PM PST by Arthurio

Dick Morris appeared on a special Sunday broadcast of FOX News' "On the Record" with host Greta van Susteren to reaffirm his prediction that Mitt Romney will win Tuesday's presidential election in a landslide. Morris discussed the states he believes Romney will win and the number of electoral votes he predicts the Republican candidate will end up with.

Morris says Romney will capture 325 electoral votes while Obama will get 213, a significant difference.

"It will be the biggest surprise in recent American political history," Morris said. "It will rekindle the whole question on why the media played this race as a nailbiter where in fact Romney’s going to win by quite a bit."

Morris tells van Susteren pollsters are oversampling Democrats and says a poll that claims Obama is up 3, really means Romney is winning by 4.

(Excerpt) Read more at realclearpolitics.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; morris
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To: nwrep

The polling data is all based on a very questionable assumption: this electorate is as Democratic or more Democratic than 2008!

For the MSM and pollsters, its like the 2010 mid-term never happened. All of these people live in a bubble. The Tea Party is still a force to be reckoned with.

And I like how the Romney Campaign has performed in the past 48 hours. It was a great weekend!


21 posted on 11/05/2012 1:48:19 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: goldstategop

Lord, I believe. Help my unbelief. :P


22 posted on 11/05/2012 1:49:52 AM PST by AmericanSamurai
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To: All

Romney gets 51.3% of the Popular vote and 295 EV’s.


23 posted on 11/05/2012 2:39:52 AM PST by Rodney Dangerfield ("We have boats that carry planes and other boats that go underwater")
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To: Arthurio

Just Win Baby.


24 posted on 11/05/2012 2:59:52 AM PST by AHerald ("Do not fear, only believe." - Mark 5:36)
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To: cgbg
None of this is true. Undecideds split evenly between GW and Kerry in 2004. On Wisconsin, many polls called it correctly towards the end, even if they had had it too close to call a month before. And Blue collar white males lying to pollsters is a favorite Freeper fantasy that surfaces every 4 years (in 2008 it was lumped under the Bradley Effect).

All this is eerily reminiscent of the 2008 bunker mentality. I just hope you are right this time.

25 posted on 11/05/2012 3:00:15 AM PST by nwrep
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To: Jmathes

Sportsbooks don’t lose money. From what I understand they win a percentage of every bet no matter what side is bet on. It seems to me that they are in the tank for obummer and trying to influence the outcome. Pretty sure they have an agenda.


26 posted on 11/05/2012 3:16:29 AM PST by New Jersey Realist (America: home of the free because of the brave)
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To: AmericanSamurai; goldstategop
>>>Lord, I believe. Help my unbelief.<<<<

PSALM 37

12 The wicked plot against the righteous
and gnash their teeth at them;
13 but the Lord laughs at the wicked,
for he knows their day is coming.
14 The wicked draw the sword
and bend the bow to bring down the poor and needy,
to slay those whose ways are upright.
15 But their swords will pierce their own hearts,
and their bows will be broken.
16 Better the little that the righteous have
than the wealth of many wicked;
17 for the power of the wicked will be broken,
but the LORD upholds the righteous.

Your quoted verse, AS, is one that I say often, and Psalm 37 is the one that is my bedrock for this election.

May it be thus, O Lord, may it be thus, in the Name of the Lord Jesus Christ, Amen ...

27 posted on 11/05/2012 3:30:39 AM PST by Pegita ('Tis so sweet to trust in Jesus, just to take Him at His Word ...)
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To: Arthurio

Romney win? Sure. Landslide? Methinks Mr. Morrison has been sucking too many toes.


28 posted on 11/05/2012 3:48:26 AM PST by Yo-Yo (Is the /sarc tag really necessary?)
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To: Jmathes

Bookies don’t set odds on what they believe will happen. They set odds to equalize out the betting as much as possible so that they can collect their ‘vig’, which is the amount of extra they get for wrong bets. They are setting these odds to try to get more Romney action to balance out earlier Obama bets. Since non-Americans are more likely to thiunk Obama will win their early bets more likely came in that way and they are encouraging late betters to go with Romney by setting the attractive risk/reward bet for Romney. The perfect balance for them is 50-50 betting.


29 posted on 11/05/2012 3:56:02 AM PST by LRoggy (Peter's Son's Business)
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To: Yo-Yo
"Romney win? Sure. Landslide? Methinks Mr. Morrison has been sucking too many toes."

Its improbable but not Impossible.

It really depends on how quickly Florida and Virginia and North Carolina and Ohio are called.

Add in Pennsyltucky and if they all are called early for Romney then democrats in the later time zones will not stand in line. You could easily pick up several Western and mid-Western States because of Dejected Democrats going home. Minnesota is close so is Nevada (According to RCP) even Oregon, then there is Wisconsin, Iowa and Colorado. Then as far as the popular vote goes lots of folks in California and Washington and Illinois might just stay home if its called early.

Of course the opposite could happen too. If Florida is called early for Obama then its pretty much game over for Romney and the blowout could happen in reverse.

30 posted on 11/05/2012 4:07:13 AM PST by Mad Dawgg (If you're going to deny my 1st Amendment rights then I must proceed to the 2nd one...)
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To: Arthurio

I have no idea how many EVs Romney is going to get tomorrow, but I have been smelling a Romney landslide for a couple of months now.

To my eye, the 2010 midterms were the bay draining before the tsunami rolls in. There’s more to it than that- I’m seeing little things *everywhere* that sound like a huge victory in the making. As pessimistic as I usually am, I’m seeing very little that’s making me go ‘uh-oh’.

Guess we’ll see tomorrow if I’m prophetic, or full of crap. :-)


31 posted on 11/05/2012 4:12:32 AM PST by Riley (The Fourth Estate is the Fifth Column.)
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To: Riley

I’m in a state where Romney will get 65 or better percent of the vote. I have no perspective. Only prayers...


32 posted on 11/05/2012 4:19:51 AM PST by kjam22 (my newest music video: www.youtube.com/watch?v=0fHjvo6eRkI)
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To: Arthurio

I think it was less than 48-hours ago that the smarmy little creep (Morris, not Obama) was saying things were changing, there was no guaranteed outcome, and Zero could still pull it out (or words to that effect).

Why should anyone believe him now?


33 posted on 11/05/2012 4:29:19 AM PST by Arm_Bears (Be cheerful, be confident, and VOTE!!)
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To: Yo-Yo

Romney win? Sure. Landslide? Methinks Mr. Morrison has been sucking too many toes.


I hope you are wrong, and Morris did not predict a MC Cain win, he was realistic in 2008 so i think he is in this one also.


34 posted on 11/05/2012 4:30:03 AM PST by ravenwolf
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To: 2ndDivisionVet
If he, Michael Barone and Karl Rove say it’s gonna rain, buy a boat.

Rove's electoral map, as of a few minutes, is still showing FL & VA as toss-ups. I know he's said it'll be Romney, but I wish he'd update his map (a week old).

35 posted on 11/05/2012 4:36:38 AM PST by workerbee (The President of the United States is DOMESTIC ENEMY #1)
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To: nwrep
Glad we have you as the oracle of reality, I mean what would us poor deluded saps do without Concern Trolls like yourself. The Democrats will do better for Obama 2008, Romney visiting blue states is desperation and this is going to be a Obama win. Will you be back Wednesday for a mea cupla, how you really had no insight, you just are basically a negative miserable person who pecked at your keyboard incessantly through election season for no other reason but to dampen enthusiasm.
36 posted on 11/05/2012 4:51:13 AM PST by pburgh01
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To: Jmathes
"All the online sportsbooks have Obama as the one favored to win."

And during Election Day 2004, Intrade for instance went 2-1 for Kerry. Market exchanges only get it right at the end when the last dime has been squeezed from the last sucker...

37 posted on 11/05/2012 5:10:34 AM PST by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NH = 285EV)
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To: nwrep
"I hope I am wrong and Romney loses, but I trust the aggregation of polls more than I trust Dick Morris' prognostications."

Nothing worse than the aggregation of dated polls with variously flawed methodologies.

Let me school you.

Indiana was won by Obama in 2008, but it was excluded from all swing-state polling this year. Why? Because including Indiana would have kept the early swing-state polling within MoE. And that didn't fit the MSM narrative.

Very telling Freudian slip btw.

38 posted on 11/05/2012 5:16:45 AM PST by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NH = 285EV)
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Comment #39 Removed by Moderator

Comment #40 Removed by Moderator


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