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To: trappedincanuckistan

VERY VERY confused

The polls make me think Obama is going to win. There are a ton of editorials saying Romney will lose.

Yet - these crowds are big.

What is going on?

If America has been led to believe Obama will win and then he loses - there will be blood in the streets. Some will riot. Buildings will burn. Yada yada yada

Why are the polls so close? Obama can’t draw 1000 people and Romney can draw 40,000?

What is going on. All of the polls can’t be lying. So what gives.


21 posted on 11/04/2012 5:33:49 PM PST by silentknight
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To: silentknight

The poll numbers are based on a 2008 turnout model wherein Democrat turnout was 7% higher than Republican turnout. Based on early voting numbers (Democrat early voting is down across the board), the Republican enthusiasm gap showing them much more likely to vote and anecdotal evidence (the campaign is being fought on Obama’s turf etc.) I don’t believe their D+6/7 model. Do you based on what you see? Do you see enthusiasm for Obama?

Gallup is forecasting a Republican turnout advantage of 3%. Mitt Romney will win easily if that’s the case.


26 posted on 11/04/2012 5:45:25 PM PST by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: silentknight

A “ton of editorials” say this? Can you tell me who?


28 posted on 11/04/2012 5:47:21 PM PST by snarkytart
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To: silentknight
The polls make me think Obama is going to win. There are a ton of editorials saying Romney will lose.

NY newspapers endorsing Mitt...

Newsday Editorial: Elect Mitt Romney president of the United States

and...


38 posted on 11/04/2012 6:06:52 PM PST by Miss Didi ("After all...tomorrow is another day." Scarlett O'Hara, Gone with the Wind)
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To: silentknight
"The polls make me think Obama is going to win. "

That's true. 0bama is leading from behind.

42 posted on 11/04/2012 6:14:16 PM PST by 1_Rain_Drop
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To: silentknight

“What is going on. All of the polls can’t be lying. So what gives.”

What are you going to believe- your eyes or the MSM?

We’ve been lied to for a very long time, about a whole bunch of stuff.


47 posted on 11/04/2012 6:26:37 PM PST by keats5 (Not all of us are hypnotized.)
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To: silentknight

Joe Trippi’s analysis seemed on target. Both sides truly feel they will win. However Romney plans to return to Fla. (which he believed he locked up) not knowing if team Obama knows somethiing they don’t. Likewise Clinton will campaign in Pa. (State never in play) in the event team Romney knows something they’re not picking up. One side will be shocked and sorely disappointed Tuesday evening. I pray it isn’t our side but with ties all over the US, it could go either way.


74 posted on 11/05/2012 5:25:27 AM PST by StarFan
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