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Obama Gains Edge in Campaign's Final Days Obama 50% Romney 47%(PEW LV 0 48% R 45%; D+6; Female+8)
Pew Research Center ^ | November 4th, 2012

Posted on 11/04/2012 1:13:19 PM PST by Red Steel

Barack Obama has edged ahead of Mitt Romney in the final days of the presidential campaign. In the Pew Research Center’s election weekend survey, Obama holds a 48% to 45% lead over Romney among likely voters.

The survey finds that Obama maintains his modest lead when the probable decisions of undecided voters are taken into account. Our final estimate of the national popular vote is Obama 50% and Romney 47%, when the undecided vote is allocated between the two candidates based on several indicators and opinion

(Excerpt) Read more at people-press.org ...


TOPICS: Extended News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polling; 2012polls; election2012; pew; poll2012; polling; polling2012
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DU touting this poll, but the internals are skewed as usual for Ds.

See complete report here:

http://www.people-press.org/files/legacy-pdf/11-4-12%20Election%20Weekend%20Release.pdf

1 posted on 11/04/2012 1:13:20 PM PST by Red Steel
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To: Red Steel

So hurricanes and “appearing presidential” trumps the economy and jobs? This country is REALLY Fluked up.


2 posted on 11/04/2012 1:16:14 PM PST by FlingWingFlyer (The Red Cross says, Vote For Obama!)
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To: Red Steel

Don’t believe this one - D+6 oversampled?

Not going to happen. If Pew is right, an Obama victory would be the best-kept secret of the year!


3 posted on 11/04/2012 1:17:18 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Red Steel

but the internals are skewed as usual for Ds.
__________________________________

Are they in for a big surprise. Early voting numbers for Ohio is an early indicator that the Dems are in trouble.


4 posted on 11/04/2012 1:18:05 PM PST by conservativepoet
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To: Red Steel

Is this an ONLINE poll?


5 posted on 11/04/2012 1:18:25 PM PST by Jake8898
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To: Red Steel

D+6? Can’t imagine it. Hope I’m right.


6 posted on 11/04/2012 1:19:06 PM PST by Doctor 2Brains
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To: Red Steel

P.U.


7 posted on 11/04/2012 1:20:07 PM PST by smoothsailing
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To: Red Steel
when the probable decisions of undecided voters are taken into account"

Yeah, right. We'll see what the polls say on Tuesday.

8 posted on 11/04/2012 1:20:37 PM PST by HarleyD
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To: Red Steel

D 38.6%
R 32.3%
I 29.2%

for D +6.3%

This election is going to give me eye-rolling muscles of steel


9 posted on 11/04/2012 1:20:42 PM PST by verum ago (Some people must truly be in love, for only love can be so blind.)
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To: Red Steel


             

10 posted on 11/04/2012 1:21:14 PM PST by tomkat ( PAlabama '12 = RR = 300 +)
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To: FlingWingFlyer
So hurricanes and “appearing presidential” trumps the economy and jobs? This country is REALLY Fluked up.

Oh please! You don't really believe these Fluked up polls, do you? D+6???

11 posted on 11/04/2012 1:22:07 PM PST by mplsconservative (Barack Hussein 0bama has American blood on HIS hands!)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

Every one else is projecting D+2.

Gallup projects R+2.

I don’t see the Obama enthusiasm out there.


12 posted on 11/04/2012 1:22:09 PM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Red Steel

Only problem is since Wednesday people are not to thrilled with how Obama and others have handled Sandys aftermath. They should have waited for tomorrows numbers. Anyhow I don’t believe Obama hits 50% nationally. I’m predicting 51 R to 47 Obama.


13 posted on 11/04/2012 1:22:28 PM PST by linn37 (Newt supporter here.)
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To: FlingWingFlyer

Yup, If people really decided to vote for Obama because
he took a photo op after a hurricane... Then we were doomed no matter what because that’s just absurd. The culture is essentially dead as people now are guides by manipulated media images and facades instead of their own reason (see the results of the past 4 years).


14 posted on 11/04/2012 1:24:09 PM PST by SMCC1
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To: verum ago

Where is this info in this Pew Sample?

D 38.6%
R 32.3%
I 29.2%

for D +6.3%

Where is this info?


15 posted on 11/04/2012 1:24:45 PM PST by NoLibZone (I know what it is to be Black,to be hated for who I am, more so than Whoppi does. I'm a Republican.)
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To: everyone


Bring It ON!

Freepers are Ready!

Please Support Your Forum Today!

16 posted on 11/04/2012 1:25:55 PM PST by onyx (FREE REPUBLIC IS HERE TO STAY! DONATE MONTHLY! IF YOU WANT ON SARAH PALIN''S PING LIST, LET ME KNOW)
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To: Red Steel

Assuming we don’t get a tie Tuesday night one side will be stringing their analysts up to dry and their delusions as well. I just think this: if PA and MI, WI etc are super close, practically tied, then we’re in for a much different night than 2008.


17 posted on 11/04/2012 1:26:34 PM PST by toddausauras (FUBO x 1,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000)
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To: Red Steel

I found this interesting. Maybe explains why the national #s are trending a bit Obama, while swing states tighten up?

“Another notable gain for Obama, perhaps reflecting Hurricane Sandy’s effect on the race, comes in a region he was already secure in: the Northeast. He has increased his lead over Romney from nine points (52%-43%) to 21 points (56%-35%) there over just the past week.”


18 posted on 11/04/2012 1:26:44 PM PST by jaybee
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To: Red Steel

Ok, what concerns me is that Pew has been very accurate in the past 2 presidential elections. Yes, we hope they are wrong. But we must also face the fact that they could be right. Maybe this country is so screwed up already that a Hurricane and a few photo ops could trump everything else. If that is the case, this country is already lost.


19 posted on 11/04/2012 1:27:34 PM PST by David1 (.)
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To: FlingWingFlyer
So hurricanes and “appearing presidential” trumps the economy and jobs? This country is REALLY Fluked up.

Human beings are what they are. It is easy to fool them. It will ALWAYS be easy to fool them. The hurricane provided a significant bump to Obama. We may remember Sandy not for the wind and rain damage to the north east, but the 4 more years of damage to this nation it caused by boosting Obama at the last minute and allowing him to be re-elected.

20 posted on 11/04/2012 1:27:41 PM PST by Longbow1969
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