Posted on 11/04/2012 6:56:26 AM PST by SoftwareEngineer
Sunday, November 04, 2012
The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Sunday shows the race tied with President Obama and Mitt Romney each attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate, and another one percent (1%) remains undecided. See daily tracking history.
These figures include both those who have already voted and those likely to vote. Obama leads among those who have already voted, while Romney leads among those deemed likely to vote. Thirty-nine percent (39%) of voters are projected to be Democrats and 37% Republicans. Both candidates do well within their own party, while Romney has a nine-point advantage among unaffiliated voters.
One key to the outcome on Election Day will be the racial and ethnic mix of the electorate. In 2008, approximately 74% of voters were white. The Obama campaign has argued that this will fall a couple of percentage points in 2012 with an increase in minority voting. Others have noted the increased enthusiasm among white voters and the decreased enthusiasm among Hispanic voters and suggest that white voters might make up a slightly larger share of the electorate this time around. It is significant because Romney attracts 58% of the white vote, while Obama has a huge lead among non-white voters.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
So Ras went back to +4 Dem last week? Odd.
Poll ping.
Did you take into account Ras switch from 500 to 1000 per day earlier this week?
I read elsewhere that Pat Caddell said today that things have been trending back in Romney’s favor in the last 24 hours. Wondering if anyone else heard this?
I heard Cadell say it, but who knows. This has been a brutal week for the governor. I can’t wrap my mind around a storm stopping Romney’s movement, but it has.
The latest PEW poll shows that most of the Sandy bounce was in the Northeast. A similar trend might have happened in the Ras poll. I think, at worst, NH may be a tie but the trends in the Midwest should still favor R/R.
And that bounce won't last. The Northeast happens to be where all the hungry, freezing, powerless people are.
Arthurio,
Yeah I did. All that did was narrow the MOE
Cheers!
People, especially swing voters, can be idiots...
but what they’ve seen from Obama over the past month has been an angry and petulant man. After the storm, they saw their “Comforter-in-Chief” who was all but endorsed for re-election the GOP’s keynote speaker. If Obama wins because of the storm, Christie should be run out of the party.
Hopefully the effect of the storm is going away now, like all prior Obama bounces. We shall see soon enough.
Good points. Not to mention items like homosexual marriage support will have a hard time persisting to the next generation - IF WE DO OUR JOBS and raise our kids well!
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