Bottom line, if he takes the states he's supposed to and adds Colorado plus any one of MN, WI, or MI, he wins. If he gets either PA or OH, any of those states puts him over the top (CO, MN, WI, MI, NV, IA). If they are all in a "too close to call" such that it's a coin toss, he ought to win at least one, you'd think.
The good news is there are lots of realistic possibilities that get him to 270, it's not all down to just one or two states. The bad news is it's not over, even though the sentiment seems to favor Romney. To win he has to flip some deep blue states and flipping blue states is almost as hard as flipping a liberal SCOTUS judge.
Look at Romney’s demeanor. I watched him on CSPAN last night at his rally in CO - which he will win here - and he had all the assurance of a man who knows he’s going to be President.
His rally was electric! You can just feel the flow of history there. People don’t turn out in large numbers to see a loser.
And there are all the newspaper endorsements Romney’s getting - again, newspaper editors don’t endorse someone they think is going to lose.
Bottom line: Mitt Romney will be our next President!
Went there and played with the map. Romney has to win one of the red Midwest/ northern states plus a western state like CO or NV. He cannot do it with just one. And in a few scenarios, he really could use NH’s ev’s too.
Close doesn’t count if Obama gets 270.
Everyone, even in red states, go vote Romney. Your vote might matter. People in the west, you could save the night. CO, NV, OR : any of these states could save us from another 4 with O.
Michigan has 16 electoral votes.
Your electoral math is essentially the same as mine. But Colorado and Michigan alone would do it, because Michigan has 16 EVs. (In contrast, Wisconsin and Minnesota have 10 each.)