[nhwingut]

Gallup being out of the picture is even more puzzling.

Right. Very odd how this played out. Now I am the furthest thing from a conspiracy theorist, but I do find it odd that the one pollster showing a strong Romney lead, which had a R+1 sample, uses the storm as an excuse to "suspend" its daily tracker. And won't post until the day before the election.

I am not expecting good news from Gallup tomorrow. Color me not shocked if Obama is +1 or so.

[af_vet_1981]

I am not expecting good news from Gallup tomorrow. Color me not shocked if Obama is +1 or so.

4 most recent RCP national polls
1. Sunday Battleground Tracking poll: Mitt Romney, Barack Obama tied
2. Rasmussen (Saturday) tied
3. ABC/WashPost (Saturday) tied
4. Fox News (Wed) tied

It all depends on turnout D+ or R+ number.

[justiceseeker93]

Now I am the furthest thing from a conspiracy theorist, but I do find it odd that the one pollster showing a strong Romney lead, which had a R+1 sample, uses the storm as an excuse to "suspend" its daily tracker. And won't post until the day before the election.

I read Gallup's own explanation for its suspension of the daily tracking poll, and I didn't think they were playing any games. It's just that there was too wide a segment of the voting population in a geographically skewed area unavailable because of the storm to participate in the polling that they felt that it would make it impossible to do their usual sampling routine without introducing biases. They judged that they couldn't do any polling up to their standards of accuracy because they couldn't be sampling the whole country equally. Sounds reasonable to me, as far as they go with that.

Now from where do you get the fact that Gallup was using an R+1 sample?

Their record in the past has generally been that, if anything, their poll results seem to favor Democrats more than the eventual election results.