Actually, D+6 is quite reasonable. If anything, it understates the crossover vote this year. A D+4 or D+5 is more likely, IMO.
In Pennsylvania, voter registration is a lousy indicator of voter intent. Consider the fact that a D+13 registration advantage has resulted in a current Republican Governor, Republican control of the General Assembly, a Republican majority Congressional delegation, and one of the most conservative Republican US Senators(Pat Toomey).
Agreed, but ALL elected in a midterm year. Presidential years haven’t been as fertile.
Agreed, but ALL elected in a midterm year. Presidential years haven’t been as fertile.