Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

Skip to comments.

Obama 2012 diagnosis: Stage Two Death Rattle
dailycaller.com ^ | N. Scott Jones

Posted on 11/03/2012 7:40:35 PM PDT by Iam1ru1-2

As a veteran of numerous national, state and local campaigns, I can tell you that each race and each campaign has its own life cycle. The 2012 presidential contest is no exception. As polls tighten, and especially since Mitt Romney’s decisive performance in the first debate, Team Obama and the president himself are showing signs of what I term a campaign’s “death rattle.”

GOP contender Rick Santorum withdrew from this year’s Republican primary within three days of my declaration that his campaign was in the final stages of “death rattle.” The phenomenon has three distinct stages.

In Stage One Death Rattle, the candidate veers sharply off-message, seemingly desperate to change the subject. Santorum, for instance, unsuccessfully tried to capitalize on Romney adviser Eric Fehrnstrom’s ill-advised “Etch-a-Sketch” comment. Santorum began showing up at rallies with a pink Etch-a-Sketch to accentuate the point and worked lame references to it into his stump speech. It became gimmicky and unbecoming a presidential candidate. Obama’s Stage One came shortly after the first debate with Romney, with childish comments about Big Bird and other Muppets running for the border, gimmicky terms like “Romnesia” and other memes unbecoming his office. These sorts of antics rarely work.

In Stage Two Death Rattle, where I see the Obama campaign today, the campaign staff becomes increasingly frustrated, and the candidate finds it difficult not to lash out through actions or words. One symptom is public profanity. Santorum’s Stage Two moment came in an argument with New York Times reporter Jeff Zeleny over something Santorum had said in a speech. The former Pennsylvania senator was confrontational and suggested that Zeleny’s request for clarification and anything he might write about the issue were “bullshit.” Likewise, in a recent interview with Rolling Stone magazine, Obama referred to Romney as a “bullshitter.” By most accounts, Obama harbors a deeply personal animosity toward Romney but had successfully managed it in their encounters and with the press. That changed with the Rolling Stone interview.

In Stage Three Death Rattle, the candidate’s negativity toward his opponent permeates his speeches and completely overtakes his vision and messaging. His speeches grow shrill and his campaign staff and volunteers become demoralized. At this point, Santorum withdrew. Obama isn’t here yet, but he’s perilously close. New York Times columnist Ross Douthat recently wrote of an “aura of defeat” beginning to take hold within Team Obama. Maybe. But by any reasonable measure, the race remains very close.

Make no mistake about it, Team Obama and its leadership are rattled. History has shown that unseating an incumbent president is a daunting task. It is clear that Team Obama felt that the immense personal popularity of the president, unrelenting attacks on Romney and the power of incumbency would be sufficient to carry President Obama to a second term. The polls suggest otherwise.

In a few days, the jury — we the American people — will render a verdict on President Obama. A lot can happen in the next few days. Foreign affairs and questions about what happened at our consulate in Benghazi loom large for the president. Even an act of nature, Hurricane Sandy, could have a role in how it all unfolds.

We are living in challenging times, with the election of our lifetime at hand. It will be interesting to watch the final chapter in the life cycle of the 2012 presidential election and any symptoms of a campaign’s death rattle that may or may not come. Stay tuned.

N. Scott Jones is a contributing columnist at The Daily Caller, a Dallas-based, nationally recognized expert in public relations and public affairs, and a weekly radio commentator on “The Gary Snyder Show.” He has served as staff, an appointee or adviser to three U.S. presidents and two Texas governors.

Read more: http://dailycaller.com/2012/10/29/obama-2012-diagnosis-stage-two-death-rattle/#ixzz2BDXuO7zY


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS:
Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-66 next last
To: Iam1ru1-2

21 posted on 11/03/2012 8:22:44 PM PDT by garjog (We do not want another four more years of the last four years.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: mylife

Nice flag sticker!! hehe

I like the post above about the rattle snake sinking it’s fangs into Ohobo’s butt.


22 posted on 11/03/2012 8:24:29 PM PDT by davetex (Sick of moochers)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 13 | View Replies]

To: davetex
Thanks!! ☺ It replaced the aging, Caveman "I'll Decide" sticker I had on there.
23 posted on 11/03/2012 8:28:53 PM PDT by mylife (The Roar Of The Masses Could Be Farts)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 22 | View Replies]

To: Attention Surplus Disorder

Don’t get too optimistic. Romney is not in favor of those freedoms. At best, he’s a few percent better than the other guy.


24 posted on 11/03/2012 8:30:35 PM PDT by nickcarraway
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies]

To: Graewoulf
I will fly, for 4 years, a black one Nov 7 if Benghazi-Coward Obama wins.

The black flag of islam?

25 posted on 11/03/2012 8:33:40 PM PDT by null and void (Day 1383 of the Obama hostage crisis - Barack Hussein Obama an enemy BOTH foreign AND domestic)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 15 | View Replies]

To: null and void

No, silly. A black background Gadsden flag. Google “Gadsden” to see the vendors images.


26 posted on 11/03/2012 8:41:24 PM PDT by Graewoulf ((Traitor John Roberts' Obama"care" violates Sherman Anti-Trust Law, AND the U.S. Constitution.))
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 25 | View Replies]

To: Iam1ru1-2

The American people do not want to fire a President. They do so very rarely.

But matters have reached a point where the country’s condition will not get better with this President in office.

The President is a good man and has good intentions - but they are not enough. His time has come and gone. And its time for America to move on!


27 posted on 11/03/2012 8:41:33 PM PDT by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: Iam1ru1-2

Reminds me of when Bush Sr called Clinton a “bozo”


28 posted on 11/03/2012 8:44:53 PM PDT by MNDude (OWS Movement RIP)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop
The President is a good man and has good intentions

I don't think either point is even remotely true, but even if they were...

RAD T
HELL


29 posted on 11/03/2012 8:46:01 PM PDT by null and void (Day 1383 of the Obama hostage crisis - Barack Hussein Obama an enemy BOTH foreign AND domestic)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: Jane Long
Sounds to me like 0 has hit Stage 3

You mean like when Obama used the word "revenge" the other day?

30 posted on 11/03/2012 8:52:54 PM PDT by tsowellfan (KEEP WORKING like we are 10 POINTS DOWN!!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 4 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop
The President is a good man and has good intentions...

I'm not so sure...

31 posted on 11/03/2012 8:59:34 PM PDT by okie01 (THE MAINSTREAM MEDIA; Ignorance on parade.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

The President is a good man and has good intentions - but they are not enough. His time has come and gone. And its time for America to move on!

good intentions? really? i won’t go thru the laundry list so i’ll just ask, do you think it’s a good intention to turn america into a socialist country?


32 posted on 11/03/2012 9:03:21 PM PDT by willywill
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: willywill

If it only worked, which it does not. Whether Obama does it to be mean or does it out of illusion doesn’t matter to voting him out of course.


33 posted on 11/03/2012 9:04:40 PM PDT by HiTech RedNeck (cat dog, cat dog, alone in the world is a little cat dog)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 32 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop
The President is a good man and has good intentions - but they are not enough.

The HELL you say!

spit!

34 posted on 11/03/2012 9:05:35 PM PDT by Windflier (To anger a conservative, tell him a lie. To anger a liberal, tell him the truth.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: Iam1ru1-2

Wouldn’t the “vote as revenge” statement be evidence of Stage 3?


35 posted on 11/03/2012 9:08:32 PM PDT by Truth is a Weapon (Truth, it hurts so good.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 1 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop
The President is a good man and has good intentions

Promising to destroy the coal industry was 'good intention"?

You're nuts.

That was only one of his many promises to destroy the America we all know an love.

36 posted on 11/03/2012 9:09:16 PM PDT by Balding_Eagle (Liberals, at their core, are aggressive & dangerous to everyone around them,)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop

For someone who “has good intentions”, Obama is certainly stubbornly stuck on tactics and methods that don’t work. He obviously doesn’t listen to Clinton’s blatherings about “doing the same thing over and over and expecting a different result every time - the definition of insanity”. It’s not about not being “enough”, it’s about being too arrogant to rethink his communist/socialist brainwashing.


37 posted on 11/03/2012 9:13:14 PM PDT by Twinkie (REMEMBER BENGHAZI !!!!)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

To: onyx; RedMDer

Love the graphic!


38 posted on 11/03/2012 9:20:27 PM PDT by proud2beconservativeinNJ ("In God We Trust")
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 6 | View Replies]

To: goldstategop
The President is a good man and has good intentions

You're wrong.

39 posted on 11/03/2012 9:26:30 PM PDT by ILS21R (We stand at the precipice, looking into the abyss.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies]

Comment #40 Removed by Moderator


Navigation: use the links below to view more comments.
first previous 1-2021-4041-6061-66 next last

Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson