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In The Last Few Hours…Sudden Danger Signs In Polling
Dick Morris.com ^ | November 2,2012 | Dick Morris

Posted on 11/03/2012 9:36:38 AM PDT by Hojczyk

As Election Day approaches, we must be very sensitive to last minute changes in the polls. Remember that President George W. Bush fell from a 4 point lead into a tie over the last weekend in 2000 and Clinton rose from a tie to a 5 point win in the last weekend of 1992.

With that caution in mind, a danger signal comes from the latest Rasmussen Poll reflecting a two point gain for Obama. Whereas before the storm, Rasmussen showed Romney two ahead, he now has the race tied at 48-48.

That is troublesome.

It may be that Obama’s visit to New Jersey and the high profile (figurative) kisses bestowed on him by nominal Republican Mayor Bloomberg of New York and real Republican Chris Christie of New Jersey might have helped him.

Perhaps he is erasing the image of a nit-picking, petulant president deep into negative charges against his opponent and replacing it with the image of an executive handling a tough situation for our country.

This race is not over yet! And with a media determined to re-elect Obama, we may see the president’s recovery continue unless we step up our own efforts to thwart it.

We are still likely to win. The undecided vote always goes against the incumbent and all the polling suggests we will be more successful than they will be at turning out our vote. But, early warning signs must be headed.

Bottom line: WORK LIKE HELL!!!

(Excerpt) Read more at dickmorris.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; morris; toesucker
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To: daniel885

Sound advice Daniel.

LLS


61 posted on 11/03/2012 11:47:20 AM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: Nickname
Thank you for the link and there is no doubt... Dick sees the same thing today that we all see... obama is a failure and every single action since he and moby dick had a political photo smooch... has started reminding Americans just how evil, mean, corrupt, inept and unprepared obama truly is. We will finally get some payback on obama this coming Tuesday... for ever more. The tears of the left will be sweet indeed! Let them riot and attack in response... it will not last long and it will purge America of some of the demons that have presided here for far too long. Remember what stopped the rodney king riots... Mother Green and her Killing Machine!

LLS

62 posted on 11/03/2012 12:10:25 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: Hojczyk
1st, what were Ras's internals?

2nd, all elections tighten at the end before they break open.

3rd, Obama can't crack 50% so he is finished.

63 posted on 11/03/2012 12:12:08 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: jmstein7
Or a hand wringing, brow beaten and scared FReeper. There is no need for fear if one has faith! JESUS said if our faith was only as big as a tiny mustard seed... then we can look at a mountain and tell that mountain to move and it will move... well at least 52% of voting Americans will be moving obama to Hawaii permanently on Tuesday.

LLS

64 posted on 11/03/2012 12:12:58 PM PDT by LibLieSlayer (OUR GOVERNMENT AND PRESS ARE NO LONGER TRUSTWORTHY OR DESERVING OF RESPECT!)
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To: comebacknewt

No, it will be a blowout, it appears to be a +R1 which will go against all of the projected polls that had it +D5.


65 posted on 11/03/2012 12:15:04 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration

Republicans are enthusiastic. Democrats are demoralized. Both are indicated by the size of rallies, early voting numbers, and polling. Democrats will not even come close to the turnout advantage that most polls assume. Romney wins.

Obama seems to have a ceiling of 47%. Bad news for an incumbent in the final days of a campaign. Romney wins.

The latest polls show Obama doing better with Independents. This is a temporary bump due to the hurricane. On Tuesday Independents will be thinking about jobs, debt, gas etc. not the hurricane. Romney wins.

I believe these signs point to a Romney win.


66 posted on 11/03/2012 12:26:37 PM PDT by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: bolobaby
Don't count your chickens.

Zero can and probably is getting the sympathy vote now and he can easily pull this out.

Don't underestimate the stupidity of the American voter.

67 posted on 11/03/2012 12:32:16 PM PDT by CapnJack
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To: trappedincanuckistan
I think any poll showing Obama doing well with Independents is suspect.

Romney has a strong lead with them.

68 posted on 11/03/2012 12:35:08 PM PDT by fortheDeclaration (Pr 14:34 Righteousness exalteth a nation:but sin is a reproach to any people)
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To: fortheDeclaration

He probably got a small boost among independents running around looking presidential, but like I said I believe that will fade. At the end of the day I believe it is about jobs, debt, gas etc.


69 posted on 11/03/2012 12:40:03 PM PDT by trappedincanuckistan (livefreeordietryin)
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To: All

Time to give this place a good dose of “concern troll spray”


70 posted on 11/03/2012 7:11:38 PM PDT by Kolath
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To: over3Owithabrain; All

He is correct though, the hurricane really really helped Obama and may tilt the presidency to him.

It completely changed the narrative of the race.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

Pffffft!!! I like a to order a “whopper” with cheese.


71 posted on 11/03/2012 7:11:39 PM PDT by Kolath
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To: Norman Bates

Romney is bleeding away his once enormous lead among independents.
+++++++++++++++++++++++

Sheesh...squeek, squeek...get a splash of water and some jump ship soooooooo early.


72 posted on 11/03/2012 7:16:37 PM PDT by Kolath
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