Posted on 11/03/2012 9:36:38 AM PDT by Hojczyk
As Election Day approaches, we must be very sensitive to last minute changes in the polls. Remember that President George W. Bush fell from a 4 point lead into a tie over the last weekend in 2000 and Clinton rose from a tie to a 5 point win in the last weekend of 1992.
With that caution in mind, a danger signal comes from the latest Rasmussen Poll reflecting a two point gain for Obama. Whereas before the storm, Rasmussen showed Romney two ahead, he now has the race tied at 48-48.
That is troublesome.
It may be that Obama’s visit to New Jersey and the high profile (figurative) kisses bestowed on him by nominal Republican Mayor Bloomberg of New York and real Republican Chris Christie of New Jersey might have helped him.
Perhaps he is erasing the image of a nit-picking, petulant president deep into negative charges against his opponent and replacing it with the image of an executive handling a tough situation for our country.
This race is not over yet! And with a media determined to re-elect Obama, we may see the president’s recovery continue unless we step up our own efforts to thwart it.
We are still likely to win. The undecided vote always goes against the incumbent and all the polling suggests we will be more successful than they will be at turning out our vote. But, early warning signs must be headed.
Bottom line: WORK LIKE HELL!!!
(Excerpt) Read more at dickmorris.com ...
Sound advice Daniel.
LLS
LLS
2nd, all elections tighten at the end before they break open.
3rd, Obama can't crack 50% so he is finished.
LLS
No, it will be a blowout, it appears to be a +R1 which will go against all of the projected polls that had it +D5.
Republicans are enthusiastic. Democrats are demoralized. Both are indicated by the size of rallies, early voting numbers, and polling. Democrats will not even come close to the turnout advantage that most polls assume. Romney wins.
Obama seems to have a ceiling of 47%. Bad news for an incumbent in the final days of a campaign. Romney wins.
The latest polls show Obama doing better with Independents. This is a temporary bump due to the hurricane. On Tuesday Independents will be thinking about jobs, debt, gas etc. not the hurricane. Romney wins.
I believe these signs point to a Romney win.
Zero can and probably is getting the sympathy vote now and he can easily pull this out.
Don't underestimate the stupidity of the American voter.
Romney has a strong lead with them.
He probably got a small boost among independents running around looking presidential, but like I said I believe that will fade. At the end of the day I believe it is about jobs, debt, gas etc.
Time to give this place a good dose of “concern troll spray”
He is correct though, the hurricane really really helped Obama and may tilt the presidency to him.
It completely changed the narrative of the race.
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
Pffffft!!! I like a to order a “whopper” with cheese.
Romney is bleeding away his once enormous lead among independents.
+++++++++++++++++++++++
Sheesh...squeek, squeek...get a splash of water and some jump ship soooooooo early.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.