Posted on 11/02/2012 11:47:47 AM PDT by ScottinVA
With four days to go, President Obama and Mitt Romney are tied in the critical battleground state of Ohio.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Ohio Voters finds Obama and Romney each with 49% support. Two percent (2%) prefer some other candidate, while one percent (1%) is undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Ohio remains one of eight Toss-Up states in the Rasmussen Reports Electoral College Projections. Obama won the Buckeye State in 2008 by a 52% to 47% margin.
At the beginning of the week, Romney held a slight 50% to 48% advantage. It was the first time Romney has taken even a modest lead in the race of Ohio's 18 Electoral College votes since late May, but the two candidates have been within two percentage points of one another since then.
Forty percent (40%) of Ohio voters say they have already cast their ballots, and among these voters, the president has a comfortable 56% to 41% lead.
Both candidates earn better than 90% support from voters in their respective parties. The president is ahead 50% to 41% among voters not affiliated with either major political party.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Stay the course. Based on any analysis I’ve seen Obama is only in the game because pollsters are counting on 2008 Dem turnout. It’s not gonna happen. Even in Dem strongholds Obama’s early numbers are down.
Let’s assume Obama is ahead 56 - 41 with those who already voted, then, to get the 49-49 tie with 60% of voters yet to vote, Romney is leading that group 54-44. If the % of early voters is 26 and not 40, and if all other %’s are the same, Romney is ahead in Ohio 50.6-47.1% with 2% for others or undecided.
I know this is not a popular view among Freepers, but I don’t see any problem with presidential candidate going to TV talk show. As long as it’s selective and be prepared to set aside some questions, I don’t see why not. If, and I’m not saying he will, 0bama win on Tuesday, I think partly because of his visibility at the past 2 weeks before the election. After the 3rd debate, Romney only did state-by-state campaign, and he basically disappears from national media.
I swear there is more whining on FR right now than at probably any burn unit in the country.
It seems pretty clear to me that Ras completely biffed this one.
The premise is that 40% of the vote total is already in, zero is up by big in that early vote, and zero is up by nine with Independents- clearly leaving the race tied. /sarc
Obviously two things are erroneous and need to be fixed.
One, the premise about 40% of the final vote total already being in.
That’s pure garbage. Maybe there will be 1.5 million early votes but the final total will be well more than 3 times that.
Second, it’s seems clear that Ras transposed the 9 point lead for zero with independents and that lead is held by Romney.
When you fix those two things a tied race is plausible.
We would probably win this if we even got .01 of Indies.
I thought about writing "drug addicts" instead of "winos" but wine is much cheaper.
Those polls were before this accursed hurricane and that fat toad of a POS Christie propping up his new bud on the beaches of NJ.
Obama’s “storm surge” will be temporary. When Indies vote Tuesday they’ll be thinks jobs, debt, gas prices etc. Not hurricane Sandy. Bank it.
” . . . not that there’s anything wrong with that.”
But he is not winning indies. This poll has him DOWN 9 points.
The only hope is if there is a typo in the report.
Folks, several polls show indies backing Obama, a disturbing trend this shows also. A bit worrisome.
Im trying..feeling a little better tonight. That Ras tied poll left a mark though. Not gonna lie.
:)
It will be okay, LS will set you straight.
However, several others show Romney up. See Ohio for examples.
The CNN poll also shows R/R leading by 13% among those who plan to vote on Election Day. I wonder how that compares with McCain v. Zero in 2008.
Not sure
Wasn’t John Kerry suppose to win Ohio???
DING DING DING!!!
I call bullsh*t!!!No way he lost that many Indies in 1 day. As far as Christie I never liked that fat POS. My mindset from now till the Election is Mitt wins 49 states except California and the 7 other states Odumbass claimed there was. FUBO!!!!
This is definitely the most depressing poll I’ve read in months. I just can’t believe that you can have that much of a massive swing in Indies based on a storm that had almost no effect on OH. I know Indies are idiots but even that is a stretch. This poll would have to have model that favors R’s to get this result. Is this consistent with previous Ras OH polls ?
The good news is that a 1% increase in R turnout advantage can almost erase this lead with Indies. As important as Indies are turnout of R’s is the real key.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021695182
The libtards on the DUmp are quoting “posters” (aka fake accounts) in this thread on their faggotry site.
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