Posted on 11/02/2012 7:14:02 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
On the Friday before Election Day, the Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll showed the race tied at 48% for Obama and 48% for Romney.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
“I’m hopeful there will be a “win some, lose some” discussion for the more sane among us. Politics is like baseball — there’s always a next year.”
I wish it were so, but the reality that may unfold before us is looking oddly reminiscent of 150 years ago. The difference is I think the left is not at all interested in fighting to keep the country in one piece. Quite the contrary.
Look at the graph. If only 45% of America wanted socialism, we'd win in a landslide. The 3% difference is attributable to the Bradley effect.
not sure how effective that is
Seems like it's not helping that the Republican surrogates are out of synch with Romney, talking about Ben Ghazi while he's talking about the economy. It's a mixed message. One single, loud, clear message would be best to give people a clear idea of why they should vote for Romney on election day. I think the people are seeing the subject constantly changed on the Republican side, are getting confused on what the Republican message in, and no message is sinking in any more.
If he gets another four years, we are looking at another Castro.
Obama gains two points since Crispy Creme Christie’s disgraceful hyper-praise of the Great Pretender - after which FEMA didn’t hit the ground for FOUR DAYS. The damage is done. Christie is a disgrace.
*curb
Yes, Obama just got the Christie bounce that Romney never got following Christie’s big speech at the GOP Convention. This makes sense though, as usually a liberal will get a bounce from the help of another liberal, just as a conservative will get a bounce from the help of another conservative.
Obama + Christie = Liberalism on Display
“Polls aside, it is just unbelievable that a now four-year proven corrupt, lying, incompetent, failure can be attracting nearly one half of the nations voters.”
***
It’s disgusting, isn’t it?
We’re already halfway to being a third world country.
I have a monetary bet out there that Romney is going to win. If I had the chance to cancel that bet today I wouldn’t do it. I’m not ready to concede yet just because the polls are tightening. I still feel we’re going to see a “Tea Party” effect on turnout like we saw in 2010 and with the Scott Walker recall.
Also, someone posted a comparison of polls and election results for the last couple presidential elections, and it appears Republicans usually do 1-3 points better on election day than they do in the polls.
The big worry is that Obama ekes out an electoral college win, which seems more possible now than ever, because marketing in general has gotten better and better at micro-targeting just the right people they want to. I also think Obama has been more brazen at targetting the electoral college solely, vs. the popular vote, because unlike most past Presidents he knows what he wants to do isn’t popular and he has no desire to do what the majority of the country wants to do if he can get around them. His goal is to punish Americans for their success. And I think that someone with that mindset could make more effective use of their money by bombarding just the few swing states they need to win.
I continue to be flummoxed by Romney’s campaign and why he is supposed to be campaigning in Pennsylvania on Sunday. With an election this close it doesn’t make sense to target states that are more difficult to win than at least 8 others and which are not necessary to win.
That had to be the worst keynote address given at any convention in my lifetime. Christie's self-promoting was almost pathological. This guy needs to be eliminated from any position of authority or influence in the GOP. Let him fester away in New Jersey.
As a Platinum Member I can tell You Rasmussen is about to issue a new Ohio Poll:
Ohio: Obama 49%, Romney 49%
It’s Romney 49 and Obama 48 as initial preference.
It becomes 49 Tie where leaners are included.
Sample:
Rep 35
Dem 35
Other 29
The strange thing is that according to this new poll Obama would be 50-41 among indipendents in Ohio, unlike what seemed to be pretty much the trend up to today.
Again, it was Christie’s embrace of the Kenyan that did this.
He gave him just the cover he needed to appear moderate and bi-partisan which is what Indies eat up.
I am not giving up hope, but there is a very real possibility he cost us the White House. I hope he never wins another election as long as he lives.
Is he still using that ratio.
There is no real tightening and, in fact, the Obama campaign is being hit with shots from all across the spectrum:
1) each day there is a new shoe dropped on Benghazi;
2)he has been losing ground in every state poll across the board;
3)he is speaking before small, unenthusiastic groups; 4)Romney is speaking before large, enthusiastic crowds at events where thousands have been turned away due to lack of space;
5)The Disaster is being challenged in states which he long ago believed to be locked up
6)(hence the RATs’ internal polls are indicating disaster).
I could go on and on.
Ah, but “National Review” has Christie’s back, just like they have the back of every other RINO in existence. Already NRO tries to create the narrative for all Republicans to latch onto, and it is the narrative that Chris Christie is doing a great job and is very passionate about his State. NRO is the MSM of the Republican Party and far too many conservatives follow the NRO pied piper.
When Scott switched his model a couple of weeks ago, he built in the potential for slack in momentum and sure enough, it has dosed his numbers.
We did not 'back up' to 4% Undecided. Scott knows this too.
What we're left with, ironically, is his model. If it's D+4, Bobo wins; if it's D+2, Romney wins. If it's D+3, hellzapoppin.
No way is it D+4, so what we're left with is the trailing margin - how close do we get to D+2 and thus the 50% that puts Bobo away. I put absolute faith in the Incumbent Rule, borne out by the subtexts of even the ridiculous D+9 faux polls -- motivation, who better on economy, early voting.
D +3. poll when pollsters are getting about a 3% participation rate.
Congress is not in session.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.