Posted on 11/01/2012 3:36:40 PM PDT by drewh
NOVEMBER 1, 2012-The latest Wenzel Strategies survey of Ohio voters shows Republican Mitt Romney leading Democrat Barack Obama, 49% to 46%. The race is also razor-thin in Wisconsin, where Obama leads by a 49% to 47% margin. See the story here.
Here is the topline report for the Ohio survey. CU-Ohio Statewide Poll Topline Report 11-1-2012
Here is the Polling Memorandum for the Ohio survey. CU-Ohio Statewide Survey Polling Memorandum 11-1-2012
Here is the topline report for the Wisconsin survey. CU-Wisconsin Statewide Poll Topline Summary 11-1-2012
Here is the Polling Memorandum for the Wisconsin survey. CU-Wisconsin Statewide Survey Polling Memorandum 11-1-2012
Only 5 more days of this socialist nightmare called Obama then after 5 days the nightmare is over!
Seems like new polls are coming out of the woodwork lately. I’m thinking about issuing my own poll this weekend. Calling it GnL Poll Strategies.
37d
32r
30 I
Mandel 50
Brown 45
OHIO – Romney 49%, Obama 46%
Why does RCP post democratic pollster results and incorporate them into their averages but not republican?
In my opinion, it’s most likely because Real Clear Politics is democrat leaning and they have an agenda.
So, by my count four of the last six polls have had Romney winning OH; and before that two of three had him tied. I think it’s safe now to say the dials have moved to come into line with reality that some of us were preaching two months ago.
The pollsters are coming into line with reality so they won’t have egg on their faces next Tuesday evening.
Yea, even old Zogby has it tied now.
From John Nolte via Breitbart...
Once again, pollsters can claim they aren’t weighting Party ID to benefit Obama, but if their LV screen is loosened, it has the exact same effect, because more Democrats make it into the LV pool of voters. The best example of this arrived yesterday with three Quinnipiac polls that showed Obama winning in Ohio, Virginia, and Florida.
In the wave election of 2008, Democrats enjoyed turnout advantages of D+5 in OH; D+6 in VA; and D+3 in Florida. Yesterday’s much publicized Quinnipiac polls predicted Obama’s turnout advantage in those states would actually increase this year: VA: D+8 — FL: D+7 — OH: D+8.
But if Quinnipiac doesn’t weight for Party ID, where did that result come from?
Those three Quinnipiac polls are really RV polls. Normally, when looking for the more accurate LV pool of voters, most pollsters tighten the screen to qualify as a LV with the kinds of questions that screen out somewhere between 20 to 30% of RVs. Quite incredibly, Quinnipiac only screened out 4% of RVs. If you release a poll where 96% of RVs make it through the LV screen, you are releasing a RV poll — which of course includes more Democrats and favors Obama.
Quinnipiac is just one example of another reason we’re seeing most state and some national polls claiming Obama has a small but persistent lead thanks to a D+5 to D+8 turn out advantage.
RCP is a Chicago based outfit...
Woo hoo! Go, OIHO, Go!
Great info provided by you throughout the race. Voter ID “rigging” notwithstanding, I have and continue to be heartened by Obama’s perpetual inability to break 48% in almost every independent battleground poll. Even the rigged polls have to stretch a mile to hit 50.
+5 RAT
Yep, Democrats probably panicking more than we know.
It would be great to see Romney winning a lot more states than he needs.
Lol. I may be the only one who caught on to your post.
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