Posted on 11/01/2012 12:23:52 PM PDT by GonzoII
We feel that we are in a very, very good place, that this race is exactly where we hoped it would be a week out, said Russ Schriefer, a senior advisor to Mitt Romney, on a Wednesday conference call with reporters. Schriefer says the Romney campaign remains convinced that the fundamentals of the race favor the Republican, even as polls show the race remains tight in important swing states like Virginia, Ohio, and Iowa.
Romney pollster Neil Newhouse explained the campaigns view of the state of the race. Obama has a political environment problem, hes got an intensity problem, hes got an image problem, and hes got a ballot problem, Newhouse said. And independents, he added, remain perhaps the most important voting bloc.
If we expect the partisan edge to be significantly narrowed on Tuesday, then the race is going to come down to independents, Newhouse said, and that means advantage, Romney. Its simply cold, hard math. In 23 of the 25 national polls released in the last month Mitt has led among independents by 7 points.
Schriefer said there are a lot of states in play for Romney to pick up outside of those generally regarded as swing, including Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Michigan. Barack Obama, he said, is stuck well below the 50 percent threshold in almost every mark that you can take in many of these states. Schriefer also touted Romneys newfound favorability advantage compared to Obama.
The Romney campaign and conservative super PACs like American Crossroads and Restore our Future have begun purchasing airtime in Minnesota, Pennsylvania, and Michigan, a move that Obama campaign manager Jim Messina Tuesday called a desperate play. Republicans havent won Pennsylvania and Michigan since 1988 and havent won Minnesota since 1972. But Schriefer said some of those states are winnable for Romney.
They fall into the exact pattern that Neil has been talking about, where the president is well under 50 percent, he said. Can we win all of them? Probably not. Can we win some of them? I think so.
This guy nailed it I think. The internals are just plain bad for Obama, they've been "eaten out".
The biggest fundamental- Romney will have 10-15% more people voting for him come next Tuesday.
What the media doesn’t get.
Romney will have voting for him: Almost ALL Republicans. 20% higher amount of independents.
Obama will have voting for him: Only the fervent base of the Democrats and people loopy enough to think he did a good job.
How is it that we'd be in better shape right now with independents if we'd had a fire-breathing Newt Gingrich in the debates with Zero? Or if we'd had a tongue-tied Bachmann or the unashamed Pro-Life Santorum....how would they be appealing to independents?
It's idiotic that the country's direction is being decided by people who can't make up their mind about a total commie, but that does appear to be the case.
If we look back to the most recent FR "purge" when the circular firing squad had gone nuclear, can we at least resolve that while an unashamed small-c conservative is the ultimate goal, until we recover the idiot and ignorant "47%'ers" back into productive society, we had to go with a conservative on training wheels for the first cycle after a pure commie.
Obama will have voting for him: Only the fervent base of the Democrats and people loopy enough to think he did a good job.
Don’t forget the dead, the illegals and those who vote more than once.
On point, the internals are very bad for Obama. Nothing you can turn around by showing up on a beach with Chris Christie and acting presidential for a day.
Early voted this afternoon, since I’ll be in Ohio on Tuesday.
Long lines, but they moved them through quite quickly.
Biggest difference to 2008, NO ONE DARED TO SPEAK about politics in the line, even with about a 50-50 mix of whites to AA’s.
A huge difference from 2008, that tells everything by it’s silence.
“that this race is exactly where we hoped it would be a week out, said Russ”
HAS ANYONE SEEN ANY dim MAKE A STATEMENT SAYING THAT THEY ARE WHERE THEY HOPED TO BE ONE WEEK OUT???????
LLS
What state did you vote in?
Indiana
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