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In Deadlocked Race, Neither Side Has Ground Game Advantage--Early Voting Also Tied [Pew]
Pew ^ | 10/31 | Pew

Posted on 10/31/2012 1:37:53 PM PDT by tatown

Just as the presidential race is deadlocked in the campaign’s final days, the candidates are also running about even when it comes to the ground game. Voters nationally, as well those in the closely contested battleground states, report being contacted at about the same rates by each of the campaigns. And with a fifth of likely voters reporting already having cast their ballots, neither Barack Obama nor Mitt Romney has a clear advantage among early voters. This is in sharp contrast to early voting at this point four years ago, which favored Obama by a wide margin.

(Excerpt) Read more at people-press.org ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: poll
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To: Howard Morrison; comebacknewt

Interesting, and definitely something of a relief. I just worry about Romney’s loss of vital momentum in OH because of the time he spent in relief efforts instead of campaigning. I just hope and pray that he is as of now regaining momentum in the most important state. Is there any data source that shows what the vote looks like for those who have already voted in OH ? How much of a lead does Obama have among those who voted and what percentage of OH voters have already gotten out their votes ?


21 posted on 10/31/2012 2:20:17 PM PDT by emax
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To: MNDude

I’d estimate Zero needs 3% more than Romney in the remaining 81%.


22 posted on 10/31/2012 2:22:48 PM PDT by rfp1234
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To: Ken H

Maybe some of both, considering that if Mitt loses, it’s RIP America 1789-2012. And aren’t you sort of mortified that Romney isn’t already winning so handily everywhere that even the polls are forced to admit he’s winning ? Doesn’t it traumatize you and make you severely depressed that this election is this close at all and isn’t a 1984-like landslide ?


23 posted on 10/31/2012 2:30:46 PM PDT by emax
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To: emax

So quit being a Chicken Little and do something useful... besides hand wringing.


24 posted on 10/31/2012 2:35:37 PM PDT by Ken H
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To: All

why do they have the subheadng say early voting also tied, but then their chart below show romney up 53 43?
are they just retarded?


25 posted on 10/31/2012 2:36:02 PM PDT by willywill
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To: tatown

I expect we’ll see numerous cooked polls by the Marxist media designed to discourage conservative voters from showing up on election day. That will not work.

The propaganda press needs to pay a severe price for what it did during Buckwheat’s reign.


26 posted on 10/31/2012 2:49:21 PM PDT by sergeantdave (The FBI has declared war on the Marine Corps)
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To: rfp1234
I’d estimate Zero needs 3% more than Romney in the remaining 81%.

I think that's about right. Obama would need to get about 51-52% of the remaining 81% to overcome Romney's early lead.

27 posted on 10/31/2012 2:53:08 PM PDT by skully (My pets are Democrats!!!)
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To: sitetest
"How is a 50% - 43% lead among the 19% of the population that claims to have voted “deadlocked”?"

Oh, come on. Don't you know that when Bush had 4.5% unemployment we were in a "recession," but now with 8% we're in a "recovery?" You gotta get your definitions straight. If Zero is down by anything less than 10, it's "deadlocked" according to the Drive-bys.

28 posted on 10/31/2012 3:00:03 PM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually (Hendrix))
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To: LS

True but Pew look kind bias with that headline. I thought they were pretty middle of the road. Up 7 but it’s deadlocked?
Ridiculous.


29 posted on 10/31/2012 3:15:59 PM PDT by snarkytart
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To: LS
Dear LS,

When I looked at the information at their site, they're saying because of the small sample size, the result isn't statistically-significant. Really, what they mean, I think, is that it's well within the margin for error for such a small sample.

That's fine, but it's still not a dead heat.

Yeah, yeah, I know - double-speak. But I'm way too hard-headed to ever, ever let the minions of Satan from getting away with re-making my language to serve their demonic ends.


sitetest

30 posted on 10/31/2012 3:23:30 PM PDT by sitetest (If Roe is not overturned, no unborn child will ever be protected in law.)
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To: emax

Two days off the trail when the President and his surrogates were also off the trail for the most part is not a big deal.

Panic is unwarranted. In fact, you should take a look at the early voting and absentee analysis threads that LS and other Ohioans have put together.


31 posted on 11/01/2012 5:53:22 AM PDT by Mr. Silverback (Reagan @ only 39/Mondale +5/Dukakis +17/McCain +3...panic is unwarranted. So is complacency.)
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To: tatown

Correct, BUT this number assumes each and every Dem ballot was for Obama and each Rep ballot was for Romney. I believe what we are seeing is there are more Dem’s crossing to vote for Romney (actually against Obama more than for Romney) then there are Rep crossing to vote for Obama.


32 posted on 11/01/2012 7:10:14 AM PDT by Lacey2
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To: emax

I am in Ohio. Portman has been on the radio stations, he sounds positive and confident. It sounds like they are pleased the way it is going. Not spin, but confidence. We’ll see tonight with the rally. I heard this morning that they are now expecting more than first anticipated, could be up to 40,000. If that’s the case, I’m gonna feel really good going into the weekend. This Sandy situation up in NYC and Libya are percolating, that photo op by Obama is beginning to look bad.


33 posted on 11/02/2012 12:08:36 PM PDT by Howard Morrison
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