Posted on 10/31/2012 6:09:58 AM PDT by Ravi
Governor Mitt Romney has overtaken President Barack Obama by a very narrow margin in Virginia (49% - 44%), according to a Roanoke College Poll conducted after the Presidential debates. Republican George Allen also enjoys a 5 point lead over Democrat Tim Kaine (47% - 42%) in the race for the U.S. Senate seat in Virginia. The Roanoke College Poll interviewed 638 likely voters in Virginia between Oct. 23 and October 26 and has a margin of error of +4 percent. Employing a more stringent screen for likely voters (N=503) increases Romney's lead to 54 percent to 41 percent and Allen's lead to 51 percent to 39 percent.[1]
(Excerpt) Read more at roanoke.edu ...
No argument from me regarding Q-pac; I’ve follwed them for a long time too and know how biased they are. They are so *consistently* biased that their polls — jokes though they are — can be useful if properly adjusted.
Is the ‘Field Poll’ still around? They were masters of laughably consistent leftism too. Other media polls are obviously heavily biased as well but they tend to be all over the place, mixing up a new formula of Special Sauce as needed to inspire the Rats and prop up their favored candidates.
I did not know that Q-pac used push-poll tactics to get their desired results on this particular poll, though I can’t say I’m surprised.
If you know that Quinnipiac is a fraud, and even they only have the anti-Christ up by 2 with a D+8 poll, then why in the world would you consider the Roanoke poll an outlier, especially since Roanoke isn't really favorable, as an organization, to Republicans? Their last Virginia poll had the Kenyan up by 8. Do you really, really think that o was ever really up by 8? Look at the description from Roanoke - “narrow margin for Romney.” “Narrow”?? Up by 5, nearly at 50, with a 3 - 1 break of undecideds for the challenger, right before the election?
Again, common sense suggests that this poll is probably pretty accurate, and likely understates the final vote that Gov. Romney will receive when he wins Virginia on his way to victory over the anti-Christ nationwide on Nov 6.
sitetest
I live in Oakton (NoVA) and remember well all the Obama signs in 2008...very depressing. Now on my 7-mile daily trip to Tysons Corner (through the very blue Vienna neighborhoods), I count 65-70% Romney signs, maybe more.
My neighbors and I took over a 1/4 mile stretch around a corner on a major connector. Obamahaters tore down signs twice but we replaced them. Been up ever since.
They’re giving up...
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That formula isn’t valid for this poll because it has non-random sampling. They report a margin of error of “about 4%.”
Among likely voters, “Romney’s lead ... 54 percent to 41 percent”—a “very narrow margin”, indeed. Methinks the person who had to write up the results was likely not pleased with the way the numbers turned out.
With Colorado, Virginia, and Florida swinging to the Romney column, it is all going to come down to Ohio.
Hey, I just got a text message on my Verizon cell phone saying “Something funny about Romney” and listing a youtube and google website. Dirty tricks, I’m sure. Anyone else get this.
The from number is yrz50@bz27ns.com
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Good deal, thanks for the ping!
In Western Fairfax and Eastern Loudoun, I am seeing at least 2-1 Romney signs. The last time I was in Arlington, I only saw one or two Obama yard signs. Yards with signs for other Democrats did not have Obama signs.
I live south of Richmond and in black neighborhoods I don’t see a lot of Obama signs. Hopefully meaning he is toast. I do see other signs for the locals but not many for Obama.
I voted in the East End in 2008, I don’t remember a lot of signs.
At the polling place though there was a line of 100+ where normally there was a line of 4 or 5.
I expect almost the same black turnout this time.
It’s the non-racist vote Obama has lost.
I got a similar post, which I immediately deleted. They can keep their You Tube spam.
You may be right about the black vote. They normally make up 11% of the voters but last time they were 14%. Of course some whites stayed home because they were not fired up about McCain.
Hopefully they’re no more than 11 this time.
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