Like I mentioned in other threads... because he occupies the WH, Obama benefits from the crisis created by the storm. It’s a natural response in this country.. good or bad (in this case... very bad).
All I now is that I hope there is a special place in Hell reserved for pollsters. I for one am sick to death of all the stupid polls.
The GOP and the conservative movement can control this nation’s destiny if our side will show up to vote. Turnout is EVERYTHING! There are no excuses for pouting through 6 Nov because Romney isn’t everything we hoped for as a candidate. The mission is extricating Obama and that evil cabal of his from the White House.
Your comments are just plain silly, who cares what the polls are saying.
What polls are tightening up?
The RCP average shows Romney +0.9, up from 0.8 yesterday.
Obama, with another day off the calendar, is still at 47%.
No incumbent in history has ever been at 47% with a week out (while his incumbent is tied or ahead) and gone on to win.
Way too many hand-wringers and/or concern trolls out today. Almost like a coordinated effort.
When did we get so infested with concern trolls?
Per Gallup Romney leads Obama 52-45 in early voting. Looks like The One is DONE!
None of the pollsters want to be wrong, so they want it to look like things could go either way.
Last week, Romney led the RCP avg of polls by anywhere from 0.6-1.0.
Today he’s at 0.9% lead. With a higher D+ sample. Last week the average D+ sample was 3.5%. Today it is averaging 4.5%.
So Romney stayed in his consistent 1 point lead despite polls becoming more friendly to Obama.
Romney wins 52-47. Take it to the bank.
So is Chris Mathews sphincter.
Rush says this every year. You hear, over and over, how it is a walk for the Democrat, and then, suddenly, as you get close to election day, everything tightens.
http://www.rushlimbaugh.com/daily/2012/10/02/as_predicted_the_corrupt_polls_tighten
The other day I just realized the enormity of the the dueling polls and news cycles. Epic campaign, nobody is giving an inch. For every Obama is up by one, a Romney up by 3 pops up. Every time they say Obama is going to win Ohio, somebody say’s Romney is surging in Wisconsin or Minnesota and making huge leaps in Penn. It’s hard to imagine Ohio — a rust belt state not tending towards Romney if he is indeed polling up or surging in the surrounding rest belt states.
The fight now is all about the turn out, or so Obama thinks. Sure a really depressed turnout on either side will hurt them, but I think Obama’s team is purposefully misjudging their candidates polling strengths because if not,then all else is lost.
Romney is in the coat tail phase of his campaign, my prediction, my feeling today is Romney going to show very strong on Election day. I predict Obama will lose all but one of the swing states, and may possibly even lose a surprise blue state considered solidly for Obama.
Rats poll better on weekends. I don’t see the polls tightening up in any material way.
I don’t see that. A lot of polls showing Obama in the lead a week ago now have it even or a 1 point Romney lead. They are falling in line in the final week to keep their credibility.
Rasmussen is a point closer, which could be statistical noise, weekend data, or storm impact. We’ll see how it goes Wed and Thurs as the weekend falls off and the impact of the storm are baked in.
Scenario- The Polls all show a last minute, perhaps massive, swing toward the kenyan, the exit polls all show the kenyan winning handily. Romney wins. The Democrats scream FRAUD! and launch a million lawyers and start demanding recounts in all the states the kenyan lost. None of it would surprise me even a little. Would Justice Roberts do the Constitutional right thing or would he stay with his new found homies and get loved and lauded by MSM and all the social lions of DC and NY?
Actually, there is usually a rally towards the incumbent a couple of weeks out before the election as he locks down all the votes he is getting. Then, the remaining undecideds break for the challenger.
This year is a little different, because any time the country is attacked (by others or by the weather), there is a rallying to the incumbents. So, I am not surprised to see this.
The huge questions is, will the storm allow Obama to keep these voters who have temporarily gravitated towards him (in which case the election will be unbelievably close), or will we see the typical pattern where late deciders break heavily for the challenger (in which Romney wins comfortably as the President remains mired at 47 - 48%)?
I honestly don’t know. Could go either way, but I would sure rather be in Romney’s spot right now than the President’s.