Posted on 10/29/2012 6:31:40 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer
Daily Presidential Tracking Poll The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Monday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 49% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate,...
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Rasmussen Reports - Senate Balance of Power
Held/Safe Republican 43
Leans Republican 4
Toss-Up 6
Leans Democrat 4
Held/Safe Democrat 43
At this point, an OBJECTIVE assessment would conclude Ryan will be very busy breaking ties in the Senate.
Looks like 50/50 to me!
Super Interesting News from Rasmussen!
He just released an poll to his members that is a 7 day poll.
Some highlights!!
D+4 Poll D/R/I = 40/36/24
Taken from Oct 22-28
This is his daily 7 day sample at 500 LV daily
So 3500 people
White/Black/Other 74/13/13
Congress Republican/Congress Democrat: 46/43
Gov Romney/President Obama: 50/47 (expanded sample)
The Governor leads independents by 13
President total approval: 48
Presidential Approval Index: -12
Right Track/Wrong Track: 39/57
Rasmussen now using D+2 model, no longer D+3. D39/R37/I24. (Was D39/R36/I25).
10/29/12
Romney
Repubs 88% * .37 = 32.56
Dems 13% * .39 = 5.07
Indies 49% * .24 = 11.76
Total = 49.39 (49%)
Obama
Dems 85% * .39 = 33.15
Repubs 9% * .37 = 3.33
Indies 45% * .24 = 10.80
Total = 47.28 (47%)
Nice work NHWingUT
Hmm! So it means that the Governor did not have a good polling day on either Saturday or Sunday
So, two things:
1. Either Hurricane Sandy reduced the number of R respondents in the East Coast as they prepared to leave town or bunker down
2. His Sat and Sun samples rotated out to states that have a very D leaning populace
Yes. Definitely a couple of weak polling days for Romney. Not great for Obama but he did trend up a bit.
I think tomorrow it could be even closer as Friday’s good Romney day will fall off, leaving us with two solid Obama days (Sat-Sun) and whatever today brings.
I wonder if the storm is helping Obama, as he gets to play president. He broke into my TV several times yesterday and today, with the governor of NH and Mass (both Dems) thanking Obama about 10 times during each presser.
It will be interesting to see what Gallup delivers today.
I agree. From my calculations Romney did have a good polling day Friday so we should not be surprised if Obama ticks up to 48 tomorrow. If it stays the same, 49 / 47 this would actually be good news for Romney, since the saturday/sunday polling was likely better for Obama and means Romney’s good day Friday was replaced with a good day Monday(today).
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