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Ohio Poll: Romney, Obama Tied Among Likely Voters
Cincinnati Enquirer ^

Posted on 10/27/2012 9:07:48 PM PDT by Arthurio

Ohio Poll: Romney, Obama Tied Among Likely Voters

11:56 PM, Oct 27, 2012 | 0 comments

By JANE PRENDERGAST Cincinnati Enquirer

The race for the White House continues to be too close to call in Ohio, according to a new Cincinnati Enquirer/Ohio News Organization Poll that shows President Barack Obama and Mitt Romney each with 49 percent support from likely voters.

That's a slip for the president, who took 51 percent of likely voters in the newspaper group's September poll.

Romney's support grew among males, among high school and college graduates and among respondents in every age category except 18 to 29.

The two candidates also tied in scaring voters -- 29 percent of poll respondents said they'd be scared if Obama won, and the same amount said they'd be scared if Romney won. Half said they were very enthusiastic about voting, 21 percent said they were not so enthusiastic or not enthusiastic at all.

(Excerpt) Read more at 13wmaz.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; Front Page News; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; US: Ohio
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; ohio
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To: allendale
"The original design of the poll would not sample heavily in the coal country since it is not a high population area. Therefore the final poll would miss a big shift in this area."

This happened in '04 as well...

21 posted on 10/28/2012 6:29:30 AM PDT by StAnDeliver (2008 + IN, NE1, NC, FL, VA, OH, CO, IA, NH = 285EV)
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To: Arthurio

Coal and Oil voters/workers will not go 0bummer this time...they see their jobs getting destroyed.

We are the crawl over broken glass voters this time.

Romney is up by 5% in Ohio; that is Holder-proof.

Take it to the bank.

Gut feel.


22 posted on 10/28/2012 7:34:08 AM PDT by CincyRichieRich (Keep your head up and keep moving forward!)
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To: Arthurio

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AhTof708DeHWdFJFUm1KSTAzMFZaeGJoal9Ob1EwV0E#gid=0

The numbers do not appear to change much before Election Day. While the total # of voters may shift, the winner in OH will probably win by 2/10-3/10 of a percentage point. Right now I have Romney at 50.11% to 49.89% for Obama among 5.5 million votes cast.


23 posted on 10/28/2012 8:19:06 AM PDT by parksstp
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To: carton253
Nate Silver is a saber-metrics guru that correctly predicted the 2008 election 49 out of 50 states. Sounds unbelievable until you actually understand that there were nowhere as many swing states in 2008 so you can throw 44-45 states out where a monkey could have picked him.

He has now teamed up with the NY Times and is the golden standard of the left.

His whole thing is based on state polls which sounds good but the other problem is that he totally doesn't use Rasmussen or Gallup based on argument that the Rasmussen was off by 5% last time and that Gallup isn't that accurate. Both claims I have investigated and found to be wanting.

24 posted on 10/28/2012 8:30:46 AM PDT by frogjerk (OBAMA NOV 2012 = HORSEMEAT)
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To: frogjerk

Thank you...


25 posted on 10/28/2012 8:44:10 AM PDT by carton253
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To: carton253

[ Who is this Nate Silver I keep hearing about and why is his opinion so important? ]

He’s opinion is not important. He is a left-wing hack and Obamabot.


26 posted on 10/28/2012 8:49:12 AM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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If you agree, please click the "Like"

27 posted on 10/28/2012 9:49:34 AM PDT by RedMDer (https://support.woundedwarriorproject.org/default.aspx?tsid=om93destr)
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To: Ken H

“The data were weighted to correct for potential sampling bias on gender and region of residence for respondents.’”

LOL....yet no attempt to correct for Party imbalance.

We are likely already up 1-2 percent.


28 posted on 10/28/2012 12:54:54 PM PDT by rbmillerjr (Conservative Economic and National Security Commentary: econus.blogspot.com)
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To: frogjerk

Do you know what state he missed?


29 posted on 10/29/2012 7:24:13 AM PDT by lasereye
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To: lasereye

Indiana


30 posted on 10/29/2012 10:05:19 AM PDT by frogjerk (OBAMA NOV 2012 = HORSEMEAT)
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