Why would Obama be so much more popular than Casey or why would Romney be so much less popular than Smith?
Posted on 10/26/2012 6:54:11 AM PDT by sunmars
The U.S. Senate race in Pennsylvania is now essentially a tie.
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in the Keystone State finds incumbent Democratic Senator Bob Casey, Jr. with 46% of the vote, while Republican Tom Smith attracts 45%. Nine percent (9%) are still undecided.
(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...
Nice!
This is awesome news! Go Tom Smith!
This means PA is turning purple! I think its winnable and if Romney can carry it, Tom Smith has a decent shot of getting into the Senate.
Obama must be wondering where to put the money because its not gonna stretch everywhere if he has to run ads in PA, Mi, Minn, Wisc, Iowa, Nevada, Ohio.
Who does he throw to the wolves.
It already was turning in 2010 when Toomey got elected. This my well be the icing.
Great news!!!
Smith SHOULD win this one.
I haven’t even heard a single ad for Casey anywhere. The guy was a dud 6 years ago, and only got in because Santorum was so damned bad.
I don’t think Ol’ Bushy Brows is spending much Dem money at all. Tom’s problem is he has no NAME. I emailed my friends telling them to vote Smith. ALL said who is he, what’s he running for? I said Casey is his opponent. Half actually said “Is he still in office?” Gives you an idea about HIM.
Altogether it adds up to 51-49 at a minimum for Smith, and that isn't even taking any possible sample skew into account.
Bottom line -- these numbers are devestating for Casey and indicate a likely pickup for the Repoublicans.
Of course, there is the HUGE caveat that is the Philly voter fraud we know will happen. But my personal opinion is I don't think the D's can pass off a 150% turnout this time around.
Santorum wasn't bad. He got caught up in the huge Dem tidal wave in the 2006 midterms that gave the Dems control over Congress and added a large number of state governorships. It was a wipe out that presaged the even bigger Dem victory in 2008.
Corbett and the state GOP were wise to bring up Voter ID, now any cases of outrageous fraud will be used against the Dems for opposing the law.
Romney MUST move into PA and MI - expand the field and drain Obama dry. Need contingencies to both Ohio and Wisconsin.
Moving into Minnesota was a good move, and beneficial to both Iowa and Wisconsin in certain TV markets.
The funny thing is that Casey’s been running all these supposed attack ads against Smith - in the primary I voted for the other pro-life TEA party guy whose name I now can’t recall. Every time I see one of Casey’s ads I think, “Oh, that Smith sounds like a pretty good guy afterall. Can’t wait to vote for him.”
Toomey was almost guaranteed the spot with Arlen’s turncoating.
However, yes PA is not the blue state everyone outside thinks it is. This cycle the Democratic Governor is gone, so no help using state employees and coercion. Obama’s 4 year long attack on blue dogs etc... PA can very likely go RED this time.
Casey has nothing, his daddy’s name and that’s it. Momentum is definitely with Smith... we’ll see how it closes.
I saw this morning that GOP insiders in Wisconsin think Romney is only down about 2 points there, with strong momentum, and that he could very well wind up winning it. And, I think he has already won Ohio, because Obama's early vote effort is way down from 2008 results.
I'd rank the likelihood of carrying these four states like this: Ohio, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Michigan. In some precincts of Detroit, 110% of registered voters will turn out. :)
No my friend, Santorum was that damned bad.
You don’t lose by 17 points because you got “caught up in a democratic wave”.
I am so sick of people who don’t live in PA telling me how good or bad someone who represenated my state was.
Santorum was indeed that bad. He’s far more liked outside of PA than inside of PA with good reason.
Trying to spin a 17 point loss to an opponent who literally no showed the campaign is beyond ignorant.
Casey didn’t win by 17, Santorum LOST by 17. Had santorum lost by 10 or less you could try to make the argument you are.. he lost by nearly 20! That’s not getting swept up in a democratic wave, that’s being sent packing because the electorate rejected you.
There is a 1/2 BILLION less than one mile tunnel that Santorum used to buy an endorcement from the unions, etc etc etc.. don’t tell me Santorum wasn’t bad.. Santorum was horrific, he earned and deserved the defeat he was handed.
Why would Obama be so much more popular than Casey or why would Romney be so much less popular than Smith?
I think Romney likely has IA, WI, OH and IN locked up.
I think PA & MI are winnable but tougher.
MN and IL are off the table.
Oh Indiana is locked up, rasmussen had Romney up 13% last week there.
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