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Rasmussen Daily: FRI 10/26: R:50 O:47 Obama -12% : FULL post Debate THREE
Rasmussen Reports ^ | 10/26/2012 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 10/26/2012 6:43:11 AM PDT by SoftwareEngineer

Daily Presidential Tracking Poll The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Friday shows Mitt Romney attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while President Obama earns the vote from 47%. One percent (1%) prefers some other candidate,...

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(Excerpt) Read more at rasmussenreports.com ...


TOPICS: Breaking News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: 2012polls; election; obama; rasmussen; romney
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Thanks for sharing this insider/ paid for data.

Generous of you, and greatly appreciated to remove some of the non details reported on the news channels.


41 posted on 10/26/2012 7:02:52 AM PDT by patriotspride
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To: The G Man

I believe this. Because it has always been a tied race on ideological base, i.e. 95/5 Rs voting Romney, 95/5 Ds voting Obama.

But now Rasmussen has 95/5 Rs voting Romney, while 85/13 Ds voting Obama.

That’s a big drop off of base for Obama. And now with Indies pulling away for Romney, if it were still a D+3, Romney would be up 53-47.


42 posted on 10/26/2012 7:03:05 AM PDT by nhwingut (Single Issue Voter: Obama Must Go!)
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To: Lacey2
"Why is he doing this? The D+6 refers to the expected turnout, correct?

It's a messy number. Some people register with one party, change their loyalties, then vote the other party, but never change registration.

Party ID is according to what people SAY at the time of the call. It may or may not be an accurate number. In open primary states, there is no incentive to keep party registration accurate. You have self-identified Democrats who haven't voted for a Democrat in 20 years, so these "high numbers" for "Democrat" voters may in fact be accurate.

43 posted on 10/26/2012 7:03:45 AM PDT by cookcounty ("When I speak, I say what I mean and I mean what I say!" ---Joe Biden, 10/11/2012)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Some interesting tweets from NumbersMuncher.

If Rasmussen had same party ID weighting as yesterday, Romneys lead would have jumped from 3 pts to 4.44 points today. Either 50-46 or 51-46
8:51am - 26 Oct 12

Rasmussen has Romney still up 3, 50-47. Romney up 17 among indys. Ras moved sample to *about* D+6 to keep it a 3 point race.
8:35am - 26 Oct 12


44 posted on 10/26/2012 7:03:47 AM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
2008 Ohio exit poll 39% D, 31% R. D+8.
2004 it was 35%D, 40%R, R+5.
What changed? The shift in which party Indys identified with.
45 posted on 10/26/2012 7:04:17 AM PDT by TornadoAlley3 (Obama is everything Oklahoma is not.)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
This chart seems to be popular. I am also doing it for the Gallup poll in the afternoon. I will be hunting tomorrow, so if anyone would like to take over for a day, let me know via FR Mail. You will need Microsoft Excel and a place to post a image, such as photobucket. Uploaded from the Photobucket iPhone App
46 posted on 10/26/2012 7:05:15 AM PDT by ConservativeInPA (In a previous life I was ...)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
This is so typical of these asinine polls. Romney is SLAUGHTERING Obama right now. I say it's more like 64% to 34% This race is far from tight as the dumbass MSM would try to have people believe.

Why, because the whole country is gearing up for Mitt to be the NEXT President. You can feel it in the air. People don't have a sliver of faith in Obama even if they like him! This Benghazi thing ought to be the demise factor in both Obama and Clinton!

I won't predict the outcome of the election, but right now, Mitt is kicking Obama's ass! Everyone knows it and the MSM are trying to quell the momentum with these STUPID, biased, Dem over sampled, underhanded polls!

47 posted on 10/26/2012 7:05:41 AM PDT by sirchtruth (Freedom is not free.)
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To: nhwingut

See post #44

Rasmussen is screwing with his turnout model to keep it a close race. He moved it to around D +6 today to keep it at Romney +3.


48 posted on 10/26/2012 7:06:25 AM PDT by KansasGirl ("If you have a business, you didn't build that. Somebody else made that happen."--B. Hussein Obama)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

I don’t understand how Romney can be sweeping the independents (17% advantage) and yet barely ahead. That is why I think these polls are all bogus. Obama’s support with democrats has weakened from 2008. Romney is doing fine with Republicans. So a 17% advantage with independents out to put Romney at least 5 points, IMHO.


49 posted on 10/26/2012 7:06:52 AM PDT by Mr Rogers
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To: SomeCallMeTim

Where did this myth start, that only punkie Democrats use cell phones and Republicans are just old fuddy-duddys who only use land lines?


50 posted on 10/26/2012 7:07:07 AM PDT by PermaRag (If Trayvon had a father, he'd look just like Obama)
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To: SoftwareEngineer
So, that may show more Republican intensity in the Swing States

Which is confirmed, so far, in the early voting data available from Ohio. Adrian Gray (Bush pollster) has been tracking it closely, and tweeted this earlier today:

OHIO in one tweet: 220k fewer Dems have voted vs 2008, 30k more GOP. That's net 250k. Obama won by 260k in '08. Now 11 days left.

This is huge - McCain actually won the majority of votes cast on Election Day in 2008, and some polling has shown Romney with a 10 point lead amongst voters who intend to vote in-person; if Obama does not have a significant lead from early voting by November 6th, he is toast.

Oh, nad one more tidbit - Rasmussen will show Wisconsin tied this morning. :)

51 posted on 10/26/2012 7:07:27 AM PDT by TonyInOhio (Defend Freedom / Defeat Obama)
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To: ilgipper

Looks like Romney’s debate strategy was pitch perfect.

We all would prefer to see blood in the water, but by the 3rd debate, the campaigns know where things sit in the polling, and strategize to win the remaining votes. Obama is losing, Romney is winning, period.


Finally Boehner wakes up and calls for O to address Bengazhi.


52 posted on 10/26/2012 7:07:44 AM PDT by patriotspride
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To: apillar
It's funny, last week Gallup had Romney up by 6 and 7...

Can you provide a link? Because I call BS,,

53 posted on 10/26/2012 7:08:26 AM PDT by Doofer (Still, a man hears what he wants to hear and disregards the rest.)
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To: apillar
It's funny, last week Gallup had Romney up by 6 and 7...

Can you provide a link? Because I call BS,,

54 posted on 10/26/2012 7:08:43 AM PDT by Doofer (Still, a man hears what he wants to hear and disregards the rest.)
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To: SoftwareEngineer

Down -5 wiaath women, but up how much with men?


55 posted on 10/26/2012 7:08:43 AM PDT by MrChips (MrChips)
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To: nhwingut
He used to release at 7:30 and does put does move the lead at about 7:30 but it does not update until much later. I will not be so anxious to watch after Boama loses.
56 posted on 10/26/2012 7:09:53 AM PDT by mountainlion (Live well for those that did not make it back.)
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Comment #57 Removed by Moderator

To: wiseprince
Do you know why he keeps changing the sample?

Because his media clients want a "horse race", and he needs to monkey around with the numbers enough to be close to reality while keeping the spread tight enough to be interesting.

58 posted on 10/26/2012 7:10:44 AM PDT by kevkrom (If a wise man has an argument with a foolish man, the fool only rages or laughs...)
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To: KansasGirl

That has both good and bad consequences.
On the good side, it keeps our side energized,
on the bad side, it keeps their side from growing despondent over the inevitable.


59 posted on 10/26/2012 7:11:17 AM PDT by MrB (The difference between a Humanist and a Satanist - the latter admits whom he's working for)
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Comment #60 Removed by Moderator


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