Exactly mirrors Rasmussen. No challenger (or candidate) at 50 at this point in time has gone on to lose. We are at the end of October now, not mid October. Too long at the 50 to lose now.
Also, note Obama’s approval among adults dropped by 4 points from yesterday.
Back to work...
The approve/disapprove change from yesterday would suggest to me that Gallup may be ready to ‘cycle’ back up to a 4, 5, or 6 point lead over the next day or two.
Good analysis.