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1 posted on 10/23/2012 5:45:00 PM PDT by markomalley
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To: FredZarguna
The Gallup tracking poll, whose procedure for designating likely voters makes it very susceptible to shifts in the balance of enthusiasm, has been showing Romney ahead by 5 to 7 points.

Fred, I'm soliciting your comments on the highlighted section above. Thanks and FRegards

2 posted on 10/23/2012 6:13:33 PM PDT by Nervous Tick ("You can ignore reality, but you can't ignore the consequences of ignoring reality.")
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To: markomalley

If Romney repeats the electoral map of 2004, except for losing New Mexico, he wins 287 to 251. If he also loses Ohio, he ties 269 to 269 (guaranteeing Romney a presidential win in the House vote but making it possible Biden retains V.P. in the Senate vote).

Based on where the RCP swing states are, the 2004 map is possible, with the New Mexico exception. Every other state is in the same position as 2004 or is a toss-up.


3 posted on 10/23/2012 6:32:19 PM PDT by JediJones (ROMNEY/RYAN: TURNAROUND ARTISTS ***** OBAMA/BIDEN: BULL $HIT ARTISTS)
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To: markomalley

Who does Obama have left?

Entitlement bums? Well... yes, but even there, I think there has to be a sizable percentage that know you can’t milk a dead cow, and that all BS to one side, the economy is in critical condition. It needs a steady hand that knows what it’s doing.

African Americans? Lots, there, but again, not all by any means.

Gays, Lesbians and assorted whackos? Gay marriage to one side, they’ve gotten almost everything they wanted from Obama and a lot of them have wealth they want to protect. See the dead cow analogy. Protecting the economy is necessary if they are going to protect their assets.

Hollywood Libs? Despite what they say for public consumption, a lot of them have to be worried, too?

I just don’t see how he can win at this point. What’s more, I am not even sure he really wants to. He likes the perks, but he doesn’t like the work. Ex-presidents get lots of Perks, and he’s 10 times richer than he was before he was elected.

So, where does that leave us?


11 posted on 10/24/2012 12:35:48 AM PDT by Ronin (Dumb, dependent and Democrat is no way to go through life - Rep. L. Gohmert, Tex)
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