My biggest fear is that R/R get 53% of the vote and somehow lose the electoral vote. It can happen. Bush destroyed Kerry in ‘04 and could have easily lost the election if OH had slipped a few points in Lurches direction.
The worst thing about this is that Nobama would still govern as if he has a mandate just to spite the people. How dare they challenge King Barak?
The popular vote types/sites are still out there but very quiet this cycle....
I don't think it's possible with a 53-47 breakdown. A close race that's withing 1 point is a possibility but I don't see that happening.
Not to worry: I believe it very likely that Obama is going to top out at 43% of the vote.
“My biggest fear is that R/R get 53% of the vote and somehow lose the electoral vote. It can happen. Bush destroyed Kerry in ‘04 and could have easily lost the election if OH had slipped a few points in Lurches direction.”
Actually, the final total in 2004 was 51-48 Bush, and he carried OH by 126,000 votes, which was by roughly the same margin as the national poll. I wouldn’t worry about a scenario of getting 53% and losing — that, while possible, is nearly impossible, certainly nothing to lose any sleep over.
BS.
First of all, where were the votes going to come from, WHEN OHIO MIRRORED THE NATIONAL RESULTS:
| 2004 National | 50.7 | 48.3 |
| 2004 Ohio | 50.8 | 48.7 |
The final margin of Bush's Ohio victory was 126,885, just under the population of Dayton (166,179) as Ohio's 7th-largest city. It was a substantial Ohio win by Bush in '04 by any measure.
To illustrate: the number of votes that Kerry lost Ohio by, was greater than the number of votes needed that would have propelled Bush to take WI, PA, MI, and NH in a Reagan-like sweep -- in fact, less than 100,000 votes.