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To: SMGFan; randita; fieldmarshaldj; Perdogg; AuH2ORepublican; BillyBoy

One state is certain to go big for Romney and reelect it’s rat Senator in a landslide. West Virginia. The rat is “popular” and the Republican candidate is a multiple time loser including losing in 2010 after leading in the polls.

Missouri if Akin loses.

Florida is a possibility. I think Romney will take the state but Mack Jr. may run behind him.

Close contents in VA, OH and PA may split but I think it’s more likely they go the same way.

On the flip side Scott Brown has 50% chance to win, Romney can’t win MA.

NV, Heller will win, even if Romney does not win the state.

CT, Linda M has a good chance to win, Romney will not win the state unless he’s winning a huge landslide.

And Hawaii, half a chance at a GOP upset with Linda Lingle in Obama’s safest state.


18 posted on 10/21/2012 6:47:06 PM PDT by Impy (Don't call me red.)
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To: Impy
Made a few adjustments based on the latest polls. Flake is a disappointment and will have to ride in with Romney. Kudos to those Republicans who are battling uphill in lean or safe Dem. states (Smith, McMahon, Brown). After a rough start, Mandel is gaining ground. I think Mandel will mirror Romney as Sherrod Brown doesn't seem to be that popular. Thompson and Mack should be doing much better. MO is such a shame - should be well under control and it's a toss up at best. The witch may live to fight another day, but hopefully she'll fade into obscurity in minority status.

WV and WA are lost causes. I think I'll just drop them off the list. Maybe if the GOP takes the Senate, Manchin can be courted but they better not give him some kind of plum assignment in return. Just give him a seat at the table along with any other first time GOP Senate winners, period.

 

10/21/12 Race for the U.S. Senate Ranked Roughly From Most to Least Likely GOP Win

State

Republican Candidate Democrat/IND Candidate Hold OR Gain
NE* Debra Fischer Bob Kerrey GAIN
IN* Richard Mourdock Joe Donnelly HOLD
ND* Rick Berg Heidi Heitcamp GAIN
WI* Tommy Thompson Tammy Baldwin GAIN
NV Dean Heller+ Shelley Berkley HOLD
AZ* Jeff Flake Richard Carmona HOLD
MT Denny Rehberg Jon Tester GAIN
MA Scott Brown+ Elizabeth Warren HOLD
VA* George Allen Tim Kaine GAIN
OH Josh Mandel Sherrod Brown+ GAIN
FL Connie Mack Bill Nelson+ GAIN
CT* Linda McMahon Chris Murphy GAIN
PA Tom Smith Bob Casey+ GAIN
MO Todd Akin Claire McCaskill+ GAIN
MI Pete Hoekstra Debbie Stabenow+ GAIN
NM* Heather Wilson Martin Heinrich GAIN
NJ Joe Kyrillos Bob Menendez+ GAIN
HI* Linda Lingle Mazie Hirono GAIN
ME* Charles Summers Angus King (Ind.) HOLD
WV John Raese Joe Manchin+ GAIN
WA Michael Baumgartner Maria Cantwell+ GAIN
*Open Seat          +Incumbent  

 

19 posted on 10/21/2012 7:04:23 PM PDT by randita
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To: Impy

what is this talk of Minnesota if Amy Klobuchar will be re elected?

I have been singing same song since 1984.
Hope we do not the same garbage results again.

Thank the people for support of GOP President, but why are they such idiots?
Good ticket splitting helps when GOP Senator elected bad if Dem Sen elected.


20 posted on 10/21/2012 7:11:28 PM PDT by SMGFan (SMGfan is not "Sub Machine Gun" fan)
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