Obama would be presented with five states in which to lose, Pennsylvania Michigan, Ohio, Wisconsin and Nevada. There are already polls showing Romney ahead in Pennsylvania and Ohio.
I predict Romney will outperform the polls in Nevada for the same reason that Reid always does —> heavy LDS support. Reid knows this and that explains his over-the-top anti-Romney rhetoric.
Wisconsin—the notion that Romney will run behind Scott Walker (who ran twice and won despite heavy media hostility) is hard to credit.
Nevada—LDS—game, set and match.