Early Voting Statistics (data + my hack analysis)

gmu/ballot spreadsheet/SOS ^ | 10/18/12 | me

[Ravi]

above

[sgtyork]

Good point. Our Walker got offices just changed the signs on June 6th. Our seats weren’t even cold. And they had sound trucks, thousands of out of state activists and walking around money. No way they can do all that again with the polls close in oh mi ia and il.

[WalterSkinner]

..I know it’s subjective, but I think the left is completely demoralized. With millions from the outside and thousands of boots on the ground they could not defeat this brave man—I think November will reflect this...

[MplsSteve]

Your Post #8 was extraordinarily well put.

Every Freeper should consider that when they go to the polls or campaign for US Senate candidates.

[LS]

Comment on Lake: Rs already have 600 more absentees in than Ds had total in 2008.

Watch Montgomery---my county. McCain lost 3:1 (43-15) in absentees here in 08. Now its a 5000 vote difference, and Rs are already 3,000 MORE absentees in than they had in 08. If this county is anywhere close to tied on election day, no way Obama wins OH.

Another: Warren was 2:1 McCain in 08. Now running at just over 4:1.

Wood, which you cite, is 100 vote difference, but Ds won it by 1500 votes in 08.

[LS]

Per Ravi's analysis, I looked a little more closely at Wood.

Folks, this seems to say the election is over. There aren't enough absentees left for Wood to get to 7% absentee advantage. If ALL the remaining absentees voted for Zero, it would be a tie. So Wood goes Romney, and is the bellweather of all of OH.

[tatown]

I love the song you sing LS.

[JPG]

After Scalia had it out with Roberts, I'm sure he felt 78 (if not older).

[SharpRightTurn]

Good info, LS. Thanks.

BTW, were you quoted on BattleGroundWatch today?

[matginzac]

I second that...doing God’s work!

[LS]

Ravi did all the work. Dunno about BattleGroundWatch. Don’t go there.

[carton253]

I don’t know how it is in Dayton, but the Obama ads have literally disappeared from the Cincinnati airwaves. Only Romney now...ads taken from the debate.

[God luvs America]

like your analysis and optimism but lets not be celebrating or making these predictions just yet...

[Jane Long]

Be still, my heart.

[LS]

If someone asks my opinion, I’m not going to lie.

[LS]

I try not to watch ads, but it does seem that Romney’ ads are more prevalent.

[LS]

I try not to watch ads, but it does seem that Romney’ ads are more prevalent.

[LS]

I try not to watch ads, but it does seem that Romney’ ads are more prevalent.

[LS]

I try not to watch ads, but it does seem that Romney’ ads are more prevalent.

[Jet Jaguar]

Thanks for the update.

[plushaye]

Thanks for all your great analyses!

For Ohio, check out this CNN article about early voting

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2012/10/18/republicans-point-to-early-vote-gains-in-ohio/

AND, if Obama was ahead in Ohio, would he be begging for votes today the way he did? This is for real:

“”I want your vote. I want your vote. I am not too proud to beg; I want you to vote. And the good news is, you can vote in Ohio, right now. Find out where at vote.barackobama.com. If you live nearby, you can vote just a few blocks away,” President Obama said at a campaign event in Ohio this evening.”