[CaribCarter]

I’m living in PA, right outside of York. I honestly don’t see how Romney can possibly overcome the black and hispanic votes in York, Harrisburg, and Philly. Those cities are hellhole garbage dumps that are going to go overwhelmingly for their enabler.

[nhwingut]

Yeah. I don’t believe Romney has a shot in PA. It’s fool’s gold. My point is that these traditional blue states (MI, PA, WI) are razor edge now, and so the idea that Obama can somehow claim a firewall in traditional swing states (NH, NV, OH, IA) is laughable.

It’s a presupposition. There is no firewall.

[kabar]

I’m living in PA, right outside of York. I honestly don’t see how Romney can possibly overcome the black and hispanic votes in York, Harrisburg, and Philly. Those cities are hellhole garbage dumps that are going to go overwhelmingly for their enabler.

PA is 83% white compared to the national average of 78.1%. 11.3% are black compared to the national average of 13.1%. Hispanics make up 5.9% of the population compared to the national average of 16.7%. The foreign born make only 5.6% of the population compared to the national average of 12.7%.

In terms of demographics, white voters will determine who wins PA. Voter fraud is the one variable that could make the difference in a close election. Prediction: Obama will not win PA by 10% like he did last time. It will be much, much closer.

Reps in blue, Dems in red -- 2008

[SoothingDave]

There are 43,000 people in York. It’s not something that can overwhelm the rest of the state, like Philly does.